Atlanta Falcons: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/atlanta-falcons Every Atlanta Falcons game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us L 17–34 vs Bengals, Week 9 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/bengals-vs-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/bengals-vs-falcons Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Falcons 34–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 0–16 at Buccaneers, Week 8 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/falcons-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/falcons-at-buccaneers Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Falcons 16–0, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −29.

The full replay

]]> W 29–20 vs 49ers, Week 7 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/49ers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/49ers-at-falcons Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the 49ers 29–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +34.

The full replay

]]> L 23–31 vs Bears, Week 6 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bears-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bears-at-falcons Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Falcons 31–23, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −32.

The full replay

]]> L 23–30 vs Ravens, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/ravens-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/ravens-at-falcons Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Falcons 30–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −19.

The full replay

]]> W 45–24 at Saints, Week 4 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/falcons-at-saints Tue, 06 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 45–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 35–14 at Packers, Week 3 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/falcons-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/falcons-at-packers Fri, 25 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Packers 35–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 3–34 vs Panthers, Week 2 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/panthers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/panthers-at-falcons Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Falcons 34–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Panthers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −5.

The full replay

]]> L 13–20 at Steelers, Week 1 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/falcons-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/falcons-at-steelers Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Falcons 20–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Steelers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −12.

The full replay

]]> W 19–17 vs Saints, Week 18 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/saints-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/saints-at-falcons Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 19–17, but the replays lean toward the Saints: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Falcons: +71.

The full replay

]]> W 27–24 vs Rams, Week 17 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/rams-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/rams-at-falcons Tue, 30 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Rams 27–24, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Falcons win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +57.

The full replay

]]> W 26–19 at Cardinals, Week 16 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/falcons-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/falcons-at-cardinals Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Cardinals 26–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Falcons win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +55.

The full replay

]]> W 29–28 at Buccaneers, Week 15 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/falcons-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/falcons-at-buccaneers Fri, 12 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Buccaneers 29–28, but the replays lean toward the Buccaneers: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Falcons: +66.

The game turned on a luck play: the Falcons fumbled and recovered it themselves (Q4, 1:44 left).

The full replay

]]> L 9–37 vs Seahawks, Week 14 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/seahawks-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/seahawks-at-falcons Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Falcons 37–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −20.

The full replay

]]> L 24–27 at Jets, Week 13 2025: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/falcons-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/falcons-at-jets Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jets beat the Falcons 27–24, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −91.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Sills dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:52 left).

The full replay

]]> W 24–10 at Saints, Week 12 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/falcons-at-saints Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 24–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +5.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 vs Panthers, Week 11 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/panthers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/panthers-at-falcons Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Falcons 30–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 25–31 at Colts, Week 10 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/falcons-vs-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/falcons-vs-colts Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Falcons 31–25, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −16.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Mooney dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:21 left).

The full replay

]]> L 23–24 at Patriots, Week 9 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/falcons-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/falcons-at-patriots Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Falcons 24–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −14.

The full replay

]]> L 10–34 vs Dolphins, Week 8 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/dolphins-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/dolphins-at-falcons Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Falcons 34–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 10–20 at 49ers, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/falcons-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/falcons-at-49ers Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Falcons 20–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −26.

The full replay

]]> W 24–14 vs Bills, Week 6 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bills-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bills-at-falcons Tue, 14 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Bills 24–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Falcons win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +59.

The full replay

]]> W 34–27 vs Commanders, Week 4 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/commanders-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/commanders-at-falcons Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Commanders 34–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +22.

The full replay

]]> L 0–30 at Panthers, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/falcons-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/falcons-at-panthers Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Falcons 30–0, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −29.

The full replay

]]> W 22–6 at Vikings, Week 2 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/falcons-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/falcons-at-vikings Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Vikings 22–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +7.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 vs Buccaneers, Week 1 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/buccaneers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/buccaneers-at-falcons Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Falcons 23–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −30.

The full replay

]]> L 38–44 vs Panthers, Week 18 2024: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/panthers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/panthers-at-falcons Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Falcons 44–38, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −89.

The full replay

]]> L 24–30 at Commanders, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/falcons-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/falcons-at-commanders Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Falcons 30–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Commanders win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −17.

The game turned on a luck play: R. Patterson missed a 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:02 left).

The full replay

]]> W 34–7 vs Giants, Week 16 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/giants-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/giants-at-falcons Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Giants 34–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: 0.

The full replay

]]> W 15–9 at Raiders, Week 15 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/falcons-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/falcons-at-raiders Tue, 17 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Raiders 15–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +13.

The full replay

]]> L 21–42 at Vikings, Week 14 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/falcons-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/falcons-at-vikings Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Falcons 42–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −17.

The full replay

]]> L 13–17 vs Chargers, Week 13 2024: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/chargers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/chargers-at-falcons Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Falcons 17–13, but the replays lean toward the Falcons: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Falcons: −60.

The full replay

]]> L 6–38 at Broncos, Week 11 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/falcons-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/falcons-at-broncos Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Falcons 38–6, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −40.

The full replay

]]> L 17–20 at Saints, Week 10 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/falcons-at-saints Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Falcons 20–17, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Saints win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −54.

The full replay

]]> W 27–21 vs Cowboys, Week 9 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/cowboys-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/cowboys-at-falcons Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Cowboys 27–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +18.

The full replay

]]> W 31–26 at Buccaneers, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/falcons-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/falcons-at-buccaneers Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Buccaneers 31–26, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +9.

The full replay

]]> L 14–34 vs Seahawks, Week 7 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/seahawks-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/seahawks-at-falcons Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Falcons 34–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Seahawks win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: −43.

The full replay

]]> W 38–20 at Panthers, Week 6 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/falcons-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/falcons-at-panthers Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Panthers 38–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 36–30 vs Buccaneers, Week 5 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/buccaneers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/buccaneers-at-falcons Fri, 04 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Buccaneers 36–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Falcons win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Falcons: +51.

The game turned on a luck play: Y. Koo made a 52-yard field goal (Q4, 0:01 left).

The full replay

]]> W 26–24 vs Saints, Week 4 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/saints-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/saints-at-falcons Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 26–24, but the replays lean toward the Saints: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Falcons: +70.

The game turned on a luck play: Y. Koo made a 58-yard field goal (Q4, 0:07 left).

The full replay

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