Chicago Bears: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/chicago-bears Every Chicago Bears game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 27–24 vs Buccaneers, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/buccaneers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/buccaneers-at-bears Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Buccaneers 27–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +27.

The full replay

]]> W 34–17 at Seahawks, Week 8 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/bears-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/bears-at-seahawks Tue, 03 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Seahawks 34–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +32.

The full replay

]]> W 30–24 vs Patriots, Week 7 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/patriots-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/patriots-at-bears Fri, 23 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Patriots 30–24, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bears win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +60.

The full replay

]]> W 31–23 at Falcons, Week 6 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bears-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bears-at-falcons Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Falcons 31–23, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +32.

The full replay

]]> L 7–31 at Packers, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bears-at-packers Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 31–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −9.

The full replay

]]> W 23–12 vs Jets, Week 4 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/jets-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/jets-at-bears Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Jets 23–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +6.

The full replay

]]> W 27–7 vs Eagles, Week 3 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/eagles-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/eagles-at-bears Tue, 29 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Eagles 27–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +5.

The full replay

]]> L 3–9 vs Vikings, Week 2 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/vikings-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/vikings-at-bears Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Bears 9–3, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Vikings win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −47.

The game turned on a luck play: C. Santos had a 23-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 6:26 left).

The full replay

]]> W 59–37 at Panthers, Week 1 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/bears-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/bears-at-panthers Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Panthers 59–37, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +13.

The full replay

]]> L 17–20 vs Rams, Divisional round 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/rams-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/rams-at-bears Mon, 19 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Bears 20–17, but the replays lean toward the Bears: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Bears: −66.

The full replay

]]> W 31–27 vs Packers, Wild Card 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/packers-at-bears Sun, 11 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 31–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bears win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +52.

The game turned on a luck play: B. McManus missed a 44-yard field goal (Q4, 2:56 left).

The full replay

]]> L 16–19 vs Lions, Week 18 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/lions-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/lions-at-bears Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Bears 19–16, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −20.

The full replay

]]> L 38–42 at 49ers, Week 17 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/bears-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/bears-at-49ers Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Bears 42–38, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −24.

The game turned on a luck play: L. Burden dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:36 left).

The full replay

]]> W 22–16 vs Packers, Week 16 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/packers-at-bears Sun, 21 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 22–16, but the replays lean toward the Packers: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Bears: +76.

The full replay

]]> W 31–3 vs Browns, Week 15 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/browns-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/browns-at-bears Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Browns 31–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 21–28 at Packers, Week 14 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/bears-at-packers Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 28–21, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −24.

The full replay

]]> W 24–15 at Eagles, Week 13 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/bears-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/bears-at-eagles Sat, 29 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Eagles 24–15, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +13.

The full replay

]]> W 31–28 vs Steelers, Week 12 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/steelers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/steelers-at-bears Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Steelers 31–28, but the replays lean toward the Steelers: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Bears: +69.

The full replay

]]> W 19–17 at Vikings, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/bears-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/bears-at-vikings Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Vikings 19–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 24–20 vs Giants, Week 10 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/giants-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/giants-at-bears Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Giants 24–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +15.

The full replay

]]> W 47–42 at Bengals, Week 9 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/bears-at-bengals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/bears-at-bengals Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Bengals 47–42, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +35.

The full replay

]]> L 16–30 at Ravens, Week 8 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/bears-at-ravens https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/bears-at-ravens Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Bears 30–16, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Ravens win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −45.

The full replay

]]> W 26–14 vs Saints, Week 7 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/saints-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/saints-at-bears Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Saints 26–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 25–24 at Commanders, Week 6 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bears-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bears-at-commanders Tue, 14 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Commanders 25–24, but the replays lean toward the Commanders: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Bears: +65.

The full replay

]]> W 25–24 at Raiders, Week 4 2025: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bears-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bears-at-raiders Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Raiders 25–24, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +82.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Carlson had a 54-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:38 left).

The full replay

]]> W 31–14 vs Cowboys, Week 3 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cowboys-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cowboys-at-bears Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Cowboys 31–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bears win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +50.

The full replay

]]> L 21–52 at Lions, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/bears-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/bears-at-lions Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Bears 52–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: 0.

The full replay

]]> L 24–27 vs Vikings, Week 1 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/vikings-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/vikings-at-bears Tue, 09 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Bears 27–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −7.

The full replay

]]> W 24–22 at Packers, Week 18 2024: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/bears-at-packers Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 24–22, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +99.

The full replay

]]> L 3–6 vs Seahawks, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/seahawks-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/seahawks-at-bears Fri, 27 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Bears 6–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −16.

The full replay

]]> L 17–34 vs Lions, Week 16 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/lions-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/lions-at-bears Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Bears 34–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 12–30 at Vikings, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/bears-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/bears-at-vikings Tue, 17 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Bears 30–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −17.

The full replay

]]> L 13–38 at 49ers, Week 14 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bears-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bears-at-49ers Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Bears 38–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −1.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 at Lions, Week 13 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/bears-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/bears-at-lions Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Bears 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −14.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 vs Vikings, Week 12 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/vikings-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/vikings-at-bears Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Bears 30–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −11.

The full replay

]]> L 19–20 vs Packers, Week 11 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/packers-at-bears Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 20–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −14.

The game turned on a luck play: C. Santos had a 46-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:03 left).

The full replay

]]> L 3–19 vs Patriots, Week 10 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/patriots-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/patriots-at-bears Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Bears 19–3, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Patriots win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −42.

The full replay

]]> L 9–29 at Cardinals, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/bears-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/bears-at-cardinals Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Bears 29–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cardinals win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 15–18 at Commanders, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/bears-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/bears-at-commanders Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Bears 18–15, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Commanders win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: −2.

The full replay

]]> W 35–16 vs Jaguars, Week 6 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/jaguars-vs-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/jaguars-vs-bears Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Jaguars 35–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Bears: +8.

The full replay

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