Dallas Cowboys: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/dallas-cowboys Every Dallas Cowboys game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 27–23 at Colts, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/cowboys-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/cowboys-at-colts Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Colts 27–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +19.

The full replay

]]> L 30–33 vs Cardinals, Week 8 2026: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/cardinals-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/cardinals-at-cowboys Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Cowboys 33–30, but the replays lean toward the Cowboys: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −64.

The full replay

]]> W 38–21 at Eagles, Week 7 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/cowboys-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/cowboys-at-eagles Tue, 27 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Eagles 38–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +7.

The full replay

]]> L 13–23 at Packers, Week 6 2026: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/cowboys-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/cowboys-at-packers Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Cowboys 23–13, but the replays lean toward the Cowboys: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −61.

The full replay

]]> L 16–24 vs Buccaneers, Week 5 2026: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/buccaneers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/buccaneers-at-cowboys Fri, 09 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Cowboys 24–16, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −96.

The full replay

]]> W 34–30 at Texans, Week 4 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/cowboys-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/cowboys-at-texans Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Texans 34–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Cowboys win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +57.

The full replay

]]> L 31–34 vs Ravens, Week 3 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/ravens-vs-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/ravens-vs-cowboys Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Cowboys 34–31, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −25.

The full replay

]]> W 37–20 vs Commanders, Week 2 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/commanders-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/commanders-at-cowboys Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Commanders 37–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +18.

The full replay

]]> L 20–28 at Giants, Week 1 2026: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/cowboys-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/cowboys-at-giants Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Cowboys 28–20, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −85.

The full replay

]]> L 17–34 at Giants, Week 18 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/cowboys-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/cowboys-at-giants Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Cowboys 34–17, but the replays lean toward the Cowboys: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −67.

The full replay

]]> W 30–23 at Commanders, Week 17 2025: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/cowboys-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/cowboys-at-commanders Fri, 26 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Commanders 30–23, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Commanders win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +82.

The full replay

]]> L 17–34 vs Chargers, Week 16 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/chargers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/chargers-at-cowboys Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Cowboys 34–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −38.

The full replay

]]> L 26–34 vs Vikings, Week 15 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/vikings-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/vikings-at-cowboys Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Cowboys 34–26, but the replays lean toward the Cowboys: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −67.

The game turned on a luck play: B. Aubrey missed a 59-yard field goal (Q4, 12:24 left).

The full replay

]]> L 30–44 at Lions, Week 14 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/cowboys-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/cowboys-at-lions Fri, 05 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Cowboys 44–30, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −20.

The full replay

]]> W 31–28 vs Chiefs, Week 13 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/chiefs-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/chiefs-at-cowboys Fri, 28 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Chiefs 31–28, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Cowboys win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +59.

The full replay

]]> W 24–21 vs Eagles, Week 12 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/eagles-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/eagles-at-cowboys Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Eagles 24–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +12.

The game turned on a luck play: the Eagles fumbled and the Cowboys recovered (Q4, 5:25 left).

The full replay

]]> W 33–16 at Raiders, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/cowboys-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/cowboys-at-raiders Tue, 18 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Raiders 33–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 17–27 vs Cardinals, Week 9 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/cardinals-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/cardinals-at-cowboys Tue, 04 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Cowboys 27–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −23.

The full replay

]]> L 24–44 at Broncos, Week 8 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/cowboys-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/cowboys-at-broncos Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Cowboys 44–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −9.

The full replay

]]> W 44–22 vs Commanders, Week 7 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/commanders-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/commanders-at-cowboys Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Commanders 44–22, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +22.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 at Panthers, Week 6 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/cowboys-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/cowboys-at-panthers Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Cowboys 30–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −26.

The full replay

]]> W 37–22 at Jets, Week 5 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/cowboys-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/cowboys-at-jets Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Jets 37–22, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +8.

The full replay

]]> T 40–40 vs Packers, Week 4 2025 https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/packers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/packers-at-cowboys Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys and the Packers tied 40–40. Replayed with the way both teams played, the Cowboys win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +3.

The full replay

]]> L 14–31 at Bears, Week 3 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cowboys-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cowboys-at-bears Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Cowboys 31–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bears win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −50.

The full replay

]]> W 40–37 vs Giants, Week 2 2025: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/giants-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/giants-at-cowboys Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Giants 40–37, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Giants win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +88.

The game turned on a luck play: B. Aubrey made a 64-yard field goal (Q4, 0:05 left).

The full replay

]]> L 20–24 at Eagles, Week 1 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/cowboys-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/cowboys-at-eagles Fri, 05 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Cowboys 24–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −33.

The full replay

]]> L 19–23 vs Commanders, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/commanders-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/commanders-at-cowboys Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Cowboys 23–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −24.

The full replay

]]> L 7–41 at Eagles, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/cowboys-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/cowboys-at-eagles Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Cowboys 41–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Eagles win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −2.

The full replay

]]> W 26–24 vs Buccaneers, Week 16 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/buccaneers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/buccaneers-at-cowboys Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Buccaneers 26–24, but the replays lean toward the Buccaneers: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +63.

The full replay

]]> W 30–14 at Panthers, Week 15 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/cowboys-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/cowboys-at-panthers Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Panthers 30–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +11.

The full replay

]]> L 20–27 vs Bengals, Week 14 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bengals-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bengals-at-cowboys Tue, 10 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Cowboys 27–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −9.

The full replay

]]> W 27–20 vs Giants, Week 13 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/giants-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/giants-at-cowboys Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Giants 27–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +30.

The full replay

]]> W 34–26 at Commanders, Week 12 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/cowboys-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/cowboys-at-commanders Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Commanders 34–26, but the replays lean toward the Commanders: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +66.

The full replay

]]> L 10–34 vs Texans, Week 11 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/texans-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/texans-at-cowboys Tue, 19 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Cowboys 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 6–34 vs Eagles, Week 10 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/eagles-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/eagles-at-cowboys Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Cowboys 34–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Eagles win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −1.

The full replay

]]> L 21–27 at Falcons, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/cowboys-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/cowboys-at-falcons Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Cowboys 27–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −18.

The full replay

]]> L 24–30 at 49ers, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cowboys-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cowboys-at-49ers Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Cowboys 30–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 9–47 vs Lions, Week 6 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/lions-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/lions-at-cowboys Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Cowboys 47–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: 0.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 at Steelers, Week 5 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/cowboys-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/cowboys-at-steelers Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Steelers 20–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +17.

The full replay

]]> W 20–15 at Giants, Week 4 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/cowboys-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/cowboys-at-giants Fri, 27 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Giants 20–15, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Cowboys: +3.

The full replay

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