Denver Broncos: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/denver-broncos Every Denver Broncos game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 26–21 at Panthers, Week 9 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/broncos-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/broncos-at-panthers Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Panthers 26–21, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +49.

The full replay

]]> W 28–24 vs Chiefs, Week 8 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/chiefs-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/chiefs-at-broncos Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chiefs 28–24, but the replays lean toward the Chiefs: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Broncos: +76.

The game turned on a luck play: H. Butker missed a 54-yard field goal (Q4, 2:36 left).

The full replay

]]> W 30–16 at Cardinals, Week 7 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/broncos-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/broncos-at-cardinals Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Cardinals 30–16, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +45.

The full replay

]]> W 17–14 vs Seahawks, Week 6 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/seahawks-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/seahawks-at-broncos Fri, 16 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Seahawks 17–14, but the replays lean toward the Seahawks: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Broncos: +77.

The full replay

]]> W 23–17 at Chargers, Week 5 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/broncos-at-chargers Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chargers 23–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +29.

The full replay

]]> L 14–24 at 49ers, Week 4 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/broncos-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/broncos-at-49ers Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Broncos 24–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −3.

The full replay

]]> W 30–26 vs Rams, Week 3 2026: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/rams-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/rams-at-broncos Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Rams 30–26, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +93.

The full replay

]]> W 20–13 vs Jaguars, Week 2 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/jaguars-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/jaguars-at-broncos Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Jaguars 20–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +40.

The full replay

]]> L 10–31 at Chiefs, Week 1 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/broncos-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/broncos-at-chiefs Tue, 15 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Broncos 31–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −14.

The full replay

]]> L 7–10 vs Patriots, AFC Championship 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/conference-championships/patriots-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/conference-championships/patriots-at-broncos Mon, 26 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Broncos 10–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −16.

The full replay

]]> W 33–30 vs Bills, Divisional round 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/bills-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/bills-at-broncos Sun, 18 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Bills 33–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +53.

The game turned on a luck play: K. Shakir dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:19 left).

The full replay

]]> W 19–3 vs Chargers, Week 18 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chargers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chargers-at-broncos Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chargers 19–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 20–13 at Chiefs, Week 17 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/broncos-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/broncos-at-chiefs Fri, 26 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chiefs 20–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +41.

The full replay

]]> L 20–34 vs Jaguars, Week 16 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jaguars-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jaguars-at-broncos Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Broncos 34–20, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Jaguars win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −44.

The full replay

]]> W 34–26 vs Packers, Week 15 2025: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/packers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/packers-at-broncos Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Packers 34–26, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +92.

The full replay

]]> W 24–17 at Raiders, Week 14 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/broncos-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/broncos-at-raiders Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 24–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +27.

The full replay

]]> W 27–26 at Commanders, Week 13 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/broncos-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/broncos-at-commanders Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Commanders 27–26, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +51.

The full replay

]]> W 22–19 vs Chiefs, Week 11 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chiefs-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chiefs-at-broncos Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chiefs 22–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +56.

The full replay

]]> W 10–7 vs Raiders, Week 10 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/raiders-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/raiders-at-broncos Fri, 07 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 10–7, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +55.

The full replay

]]> W 18–15 at Texans, Week 9 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/broncos-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/broncos-at-texans Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Texans 18–15, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +28.

The full replay

]]> W 44–24 vs Cowboys, Week 8 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/cowboys-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/cowboys-at-broncos Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Cowboys 44–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +9.

The full replay

]]> W 33–32 vs Giants, Week 7 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/giants-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/giants-at-broncos Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Giants 33–32, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +29.

The full replay

]]> W 13–11 at Jets, Week 6 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/broncos-vs-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/broncos-vs-jets Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Jets 13–11, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 21–17 at Eagles, Week 5 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/broncos-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/broncos-at-eagles Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Eagles 21–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +18.

The full replay

]]> W 28–3 vs Bengals, Week 4 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bengals-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bengals-at-broncos Tue, 30 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Bengals 28–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +18.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 at Chargers, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/broncos-at-chargers Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Broncos 23–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −24.

The full replay

]]> L 28–29 at Colts, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/broncos-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/broncos-at-colts Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Broncos 29–28, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −36.

The game turned on a luck play: W. Lutz missed a 42-yard field goal (Q4, 3:19 left).

The full replay

]]> W 20–12 vs Titans, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/titans-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/titans-at-broncos Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Titans 20–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +13.

The full replay

]]> L 7–31 at Bills, Wild Card 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/broncos-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/broncos-at-bills Mon, 13 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Broncos 31–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −4.

The full replay

]]> W 38–0 vs Chiefs, Week 18 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chiefs-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chiefs-at-broncos Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chiefs 38–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +3.

The full replay

]]> L 24–30 at Bengals, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/broncos-at-bengals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/broncos-at-bengals Sun, 29 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Broncos 30–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 27–34 at Chargers, Week 16 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/broncos-at-chargers Fri, 20 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Broncos 34–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −23.

The full replay

]]> W 31–13 vs Colts, Week 15 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/colts-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/colts-at-broncos Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Colts 31–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +56.

The full replay

]]> W 41–32 vs Browns, Week 13 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/browns-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/browns-at-broncos Tue, 03 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Browns 41–32, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +32.

The full replay

]]> W 29–19 at Raiders, Week 12 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/broncos-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/broncos-at-raiders Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 29–19, but the replays lean toward the Raiders: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Broncos: +71.

The full replay

]]> W 38–6 vs Falcons, Week 11 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/falcons-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/falcons-at-broncos Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Falcons 38–6, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +40.

The full replay

]]> L 14–16 at Chiefs, Week 10 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/broncos-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/broncos-at-chiefs Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Broncos 16–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −19.

The game turned on a luck play: W. Lutz had a 35-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:01 left).

The full replay

]]> L 10–41 at Ravens, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/broncos-at-ravens https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/broncos-at-ravens Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Broncos 41–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: −4.

The full replay

]]> W 28–14 vs Panthers, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/panthers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/panthers-at-broncos Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Panthers 28–14, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +21.

The full replay

]]> W 33–10 at Saints, Week 7 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/broncos-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/broncos-at-saints Fri, 18 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Saints 33–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Broncos: +31.

The full replay

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