Green Bay Packers: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/green-bay-packers Every Green Bay Packers game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 45–27 at Patriots, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/packers-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/packers-at-patriots Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Patriots 45–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +35.

The full replay

]]> W 27–19 vs Panthers, Week 8 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/panthers-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/panthers-at-packers Fri, 30 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Panthers 27–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Packers win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +46.

The full replay

]]> L 17–20 at Lions, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/packers-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/packers-at-lions Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Packers 20–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −11.

The full replay

]]> W 23–13 vs Cowboys, Week 6 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/cowboys-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/cowboys-at-packers Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Cowboys 23–13, but the replays lean toward the Cowboys: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Packers: +61.

The full replay

]]> W 31–7 vs Bears, Week 5 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bears-at-packers Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 31–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +9.

The full replay

]]> W 17–14 at Buccaneers, Week 4 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/packers-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/packers-at-buccaneers Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Buccaneers 17–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 14–35 vs Falcons, Week 3 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/falcons-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/falcons-at-packers Fri, 25 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Packers 35–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −10.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 at Jets, Week 2 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/packers-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/packers-at-jets Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Jets 20–17, but the replays lean toward the Jets: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Packers: +64.

The full replay

]]> L 22–39 at Vikings, Week 1 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/packers-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/packers-at-vikings Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Packers 39–22, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Vikings win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −54.

The game turned on a luck play: Defensive Holding on the Packers (Xavier McKinney), 3 yards, wiping out the play (Q4, 6:49 left).

The full replay

]]> L 27–31 at Bears, Wild Card 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/packers-at-bears Sun, 11 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 31–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bears win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −52.

The game turned on a luck play: B. McManus missed a 44-yard field goal (Q4, 2:56 left).

The full replay

]]> L 3–16 at Vikings, Week 18 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/packers-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/packers-at-vikings Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Packers 16–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −14.

The full replay

]]> L 24–41 vs Ravens, Week 17 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/ravens-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/ravens-at-packers Sun, 28 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Packers 41–24, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Ravens win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −59.

The full replay

]]> L 16–22 at Bears, Week 16 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/packers-at-bears Sun, 21 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 22–16, but the replays lean toward the Packers: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Packers: −76.

The full replay

]]> L 26–34 at Broncos, Week 15 2025: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/packers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/packers-at-broncos Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Packers 34–26, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −92.

The full replay

]]> W 28–21 vs Bears, Week 14 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/bears-at-packers Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 28–21, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +24.

The full replay

]]> W 31–24 at Lions, Week 13 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/packers-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/packers-at-lions Fri, 28 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Lions 31–24, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Packers win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +41.

The full replay

]]> W 23–6 vs Vikings, Week 12 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/vikings-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/vikings-at-packers Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Vikings 23–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 27–20 at Giants, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/packers-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/packers-at-giants Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Giants 27–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 7–10 vs Eagles, Week 10 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/eagles-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/eagles-at-packers Tue, 11 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Packers 10–7, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Eagles win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −52.

The full replay

]]> L 13–16 vs Panthers, Week 9 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/panthers-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/panthers-at-packers Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Packers 16–13, but the replays lean toward the Packers: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Packers: −73.

The full replay

]]> W 35–25 at Steelers, Week 8 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/packers-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/packers-at-steelers Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Steelers 35–25, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 27–23 at Cardinals, Week 7 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/packers-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/packers-at-cardinals Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Cardinals 27–23, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Packers win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +44.

The full replay

]]> W 27–18 vs Bengals, Week 6 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bengals-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/bengals-at-packers Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bengals 27–18, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +7.

The full replay

]]> T 40–40 at Cowboys, Week 4 2025 https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/packers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/packers-at-cowboys Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys and the Packers tied 40–40. Replayed with the way both teams played, the Cowboys win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −3.

The full replay

]]> L 10–13 at Browns, Week 3 2025: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/packers-at-browns https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/packers-at-browns Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Browns beat the Packers 13–10, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −83.

The game turned on a luck play: B. McManus had a 43-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:27 left).

The full replay

]]> W 27–18 vs Commanders, Week 2 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/commanders-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/commanders-at-packers Fri, 12 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Commanders 27–18, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +9.

The full replay

]]> W 27–13 vs Lions, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/lions-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/lions-at-packers Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Lions 27–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +22.

The full replay

]]> L 10–22 at Eagles, Wild Card 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/packers-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/packers-at-eagles Mon, 13 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Packers 22–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Eagles win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −7.

The full replay

]]> L 22–24 vs Bears, Week 18 2024: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/bears-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/bears-at-packers Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Packers 24–22, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −99.

The full replay

]]> L 25–27 at Vikings, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/packers-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/packers-at-vikings Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Packers 27–25, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −22.

The full replay

]]> W 34–0 vs Saints, Week 16 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/saints-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/saints-at-packers Tue, 24 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Saints 34–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +1.

The full replay

]]> W 30–13 at Seahawks, Week 15 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/packers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/packers-at-seahawks Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Seahawks 30–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 31–34 at Lions, Week 14 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/packers-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/packers-at-lions Fri, 06 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Packers 34–31, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Lions win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −56.

The game turned on a luck play: Offensive Pass Interference on the Packers (Christian Watson), 10 yards, wiping out the play (Q4, 4:38 left).

The full replay

]]> W 30–17 vs Dolphins, Week 13 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/dolphins-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/dolphins-at-packers Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Dolphins 30–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 38–10 vs 49ers, Week 12 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/49ers-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/49ers-at-packers Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the 49ers 38–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 20–19 at Bears, Week 11 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/packers-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/packers-at-bears Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Bears 20–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +14.

The game turned on a luck play: C. Santos had a 46-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:03 left).

The full replay

]]> L 14–24 vs Lions, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/lions-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/lions-at-packers Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Packers 24–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: −17.

The full replay

]]> W 30–27 at Jaguars, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/packers-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/packers-at-jaguars Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Jaguars 30–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +10.

The full replay

]]> W 24–22 vs Texans, Week 7 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/texans-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/texans-at-packers Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Texans 24–22, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +26.

The full replay

]]> W 34–13 vs Cardinals, Week 6 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/cardinals-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/cardinals-at-packers Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Cardinals 34–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Packers: +18.

The full replay

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