Houston Texans: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/houston-texans Every Houston Texans game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 44–22 at Chargers, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/texans-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/texans-at-chargers Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 44–22, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 21–27 vs Giants, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/giants-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/giants-at-texans Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Texans 27–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Giants win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −6.

The full replay

]]> W 34–31 at Jaguars, Week 6 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/texans-vs-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/texans-vs-jaguars Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 34–31, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +51.

The full replay

]]> W 26–3 at Titans, Week 5 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/texans-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/texans-at-titans Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Titans 26–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +16.

The full replay

]]> L 30–34 vs Cowboys, Week 4 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/cowboys-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/cowboys-at-texans Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Texans 34–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Cowboys win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −57.

The full replay

]]> L 17–19 at Colts, Week 3 2026: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/texans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/texans-at-colts Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Texans 19–17, but the replays lean toward the Texans: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Texans: −75.

The game turned on a luck play: S. Shrader made a 53-yard field goal (Q4, 0:21 left).

The full replay

]]> L 6–20 vs Bengals, Week 2 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/bengals-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/bengals-at-texans Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Texans 20–6, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −36.

The full replay

]]> L 31–36 vs Bills, Week 1 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/bills-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/bills-at-texans Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Texans 36–31, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −13.

The game turned on a luck play: the Bills fumbled and recovered it themselves (Q4, 3:13 left).

The full replay

]]> L 16–28 at Patriots, Divisional round 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/texans-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/texans-at-patriots Mon, 19 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Texans 28–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −9.

The full replay

]]> W 30–6 at Steelers, Wild Card 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/texans-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/texans-at-steelers Tue, 13 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Steelers 30–6, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +23.

The full replay

]]> W 38–30 vs Colts, Week 18 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/colts-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/colts-at-texans Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 38–30, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +30.

The full replay

]]> W 20–16 at Chargers, Week 17 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/texans-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/texans-at-chargers Sun, 28 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 20–16, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +35.

The full replay

]]> W 23–21 vs Raiders, Week 16 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/raiders-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/raiders-at-texans Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Raiders 23–21, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +47.

The full replay

]]> W 40–20 vs Cardinals, Week 15 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/cardinals-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/cardinals-at-texans Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Cardinals 40–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 20–10 at Chiefs, Week 14 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/texans-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/texans-at-chiefs Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chiefs 20–10, but the replays lean toward the Chiefs: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Texans: +79.

The full replay

]]> W 20–16 at Colts, Week 13 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/texans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/texans-at-colts Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 20–16, but the replays lean toward the Colts: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Texans: +78.

The full replay

]]> W 23–19 vs Bills, Week 12 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/bills-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/bills-at-texans Fri, 21 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Bills 23–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +46.

The full replay

]]> W 16–13 at Titans, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/texans-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/texans-at-titans Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Titans 16–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +16.

The full replay

]]> W 36–29 vs Jaguars, Week 10 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/jaguars-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/jaguars-at-texans Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 36–29, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 15–18 vs Broncos, Week 9 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/broncos-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/broncos-at-texans Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Texans 18–15, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −28.

The full replay

]]> W 26–15 vs 49ers, Week 8 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/49ers-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/49ers-at-texans Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the 49ers 26–15, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +52.

The full replay

]]> L 19–27 at Seahawks, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/texans-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/texans-at-seahawks Tue, 21 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Texans 27–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −9.

The full replay

]]> W 44–10 at Ravens, Week 5 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/texans-at-ravens https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/texans-at-ravens Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Ravens 44–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +21.

The full replay

]]> W 26–0 vs Titans, Week 4 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/titans-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/titans-at-texans Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Titans 26–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 10–17 at Jaguars, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/texans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/texans-at-jaguars Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Texans 17–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −17.

The full replay

]]> L 19–20 vs Buccaneers, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/buccaneers-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/buccaneers-at-texans Tue, 16 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Texans 20–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 9–14 at Rams, Week 1 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/texans-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/texans-at-rams Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Texans 14–9, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −28.

The full replay

]]> L 14–23 at Chiefs, Divisional round 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/divisional/texans-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/divisional/texans-at-chiefs Sun, 19 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Texans 23–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chiefs win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −54.

The full replay

]]> W 32–12 vs Chargers, Wild Card 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/chargers-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/chargers-at-texans Sun, 12 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 32–12, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +53.

The full replay

]]> W 23–14 at Titans, Week 18 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/texans-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/texans-at-titans Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Titans 23–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +14.

The full replay

]]> L 2–31 vs Ravens, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/ravens-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/ravens-at-texans Thu, 26 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Texans 31–2, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −1.

The full replay

]]> L 19–27 at Chiefs, Week 16 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/texans-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/texans-at-chiefs Sun, 22 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Texans 27–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −12.

The full replay

]]> W 20–12 vs Dolphins, Week 15 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/dolphins-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/dolphins-at-texans Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Dolphins 20–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +14.

The full replay

]]> W 23–20 at Jaguars, Week 13 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/texans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/texans-at-jaguars Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +9.

The full replay

]]> L 27–32 vs Titans, Week 12 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/titans-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/titans-at-texans Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Titans beat the Texans 32–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Titans win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −45.

The game turned on a luck play: K. Fairbairn missed a 28-yard field goal (Q4, 1:56 left).

The full replay

]]> W 34–10 at Cowboys, Week 11 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/texans-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/texans-at-cowboys Tue, 19 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Cowboys 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +4.

The full replay

]]> L 23–26 vs Lions, Week 10 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/lions-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/lions-at-texans Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Texans 26–23, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Lions win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −44.

The game turned on a luck play: K. Fairbairn missed a 58-yard field goal (Q4, 1:56 left).

The full replay

]]> L 13–21 at Jets, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/texans-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/texans-at-jets Fri, 01 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jets beat the Texans 21–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −35.

The full replay

]]> W 23–20 vs Colts, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/colts-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/colts-at-texans Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: +11.

The full replay

]]> L 22–24 at Packers, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/texans-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/texans-at-packers Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Texans 24–22, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Texans: −26.

The full replay

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