Indianapolis Colts: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/indianapolis-colts Every Indianapolis Colts game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us L 23–27 vs Cowboys, Week 9 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/cowboys-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/cowboys-at-colts Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Colts 27–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −19.

The full replay

]]> L 7–42 at Jaguars, Week 8 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 42–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 10–16 at Vikings, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/colts-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/colts-at-vikings Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Colts 16–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −31.

The full replay

]]> L 20–26 vs Titans, Week 6 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/titans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/titans-at-colts Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Titans beat the Colts 26–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Titans win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −20.

The full replay

]]> L 22–34 at Steelers, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/colts-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/colts-at-steelers Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Colts 34–22, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −39.

The full replay

]]> W 30–13 at Commanders, Week 4 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/colts-vs-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/colts-vs-commanders Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Commanders 30–13, but the replays lean toward the Commanders: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: +74.

The full replay

]]> W 19–17 vs Texans, Week 3 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/texans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/texans-at-colts Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Texans 19–17, but the replays lean toward the Texans: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: +75.

The game turned on a luck play: S. Shrader made a 53-yard field goal (Q4, 0:21 left).

The full replay

]]> L 30–33 at Chiefs, Week 2 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/colts-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/colts-at-chiefs Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Colts 33–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chiefs win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −47.

The full replay

]]> L 23–41 vs Ravens, Week 1 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/ravens-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/ravens-at-colts Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Colts 41–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −13.

The full replay

]]> L 30–38 at Texans, Week 18 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/colts-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/colts-at-texans Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 38–30, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −30.

The full replay

]]> L 17–23 vs Jaguars, Week 17 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/jaguars-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/jaguars-at-colts Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 23–17, but the replays lean toward the Colts: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: −61.

The full replay

]]> L 27–48 vs 49ers, Week 16 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/49ers-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/49ers-at-colts Tue, 23 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Colts 48–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 16–18 at Seahawks, Week 15 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/colts-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/colts-at-seahawks Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Colts 18–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −14.

The game turned on a luck play: J. Myers made a 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:22 left).

The full replay

]]> L 19–36 at Jaguars, Week 14 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 36–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 16–20 vs Texans, Week 13 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/texans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/texans-at-colts Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 20–16, but the replays lean toward the Colts: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: −78.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 at Chiefs, Week 12 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/colts-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/colts-at-chiefs Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Colts 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −14.

The full replay

]]> W 31–25 vs Falcons, Week 10 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/falcons-vs-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/falcons-vs-colts Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Falcons 31–25, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +16.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Mooney dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:21 left).

The full replay

]]> L 20–27 at Steelers, Week 9 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/colts-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/colts-at-steelers Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Colts 27–20, but the replays lean toward the Colts: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: −61.

The full replay

]]> W 38–14 vs Titans, Week 8 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/titans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/titans-at-colts Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Titans 38–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 38–24 at Chargers, Week 7 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/colts-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/colts-at-chargers Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Chargers 38–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +40.

The full replay

]]> W 31–27 vs Cardinals, Week 6 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/cardinals-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/cardinals-at-colts Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Cardinals 31–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +15.

The full replay

]]> W 40–6 vs Raiders, Week 5 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/raiders-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/raiders-at-colts Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Raiders 40–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +14.

The full replay

]]> L 20–27 at Rams, Week 4 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/colts-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/colts-at-rams Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Colts 27–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −13.

The full replay

]]> W 41–20 at Titans, Week 3 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/colts-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/colts-at-titans Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Titans 41–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +6.

The full replay

]]> W 29–28 vs Broncos, Week 2 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/broncos-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/broncos-at-colts Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Broncos 29–28, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +36.

The game turned on a luck play: W. Lutz missed a 42-yard field goal (Q4, 3:19 left).

The full replay

]]> W 33–8 vs Dolphins, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/dolphins-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/dolphins-at-colts Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Dolphins 33–8, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +6.

The full replay

]]> W 26–23 vs Jaguars, Week 18 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/jaguars-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/jaguars-at-colts Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Jaguars 26–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +13.

The full replay

]]> L 33–45 at Giants, Week 17 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/colts-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/colts-at-giants Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Colts 45–33, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Giants win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −54.

The full replay

]]> W 38–30 vs Titans, Week 16 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/titans-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/titans-at-colts Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Titans 38–30, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +9.

The full replay

]]> L 13–31 at Broncos, Week 15 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/colts-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/colts-at-broncos Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Colts 31–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −56.

The full replay

]]> W 25–24 at Patriots, Week 13 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/colts-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/colts-at-patriots Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Patriots 25–24, but the replays lean toward the Patriots: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Colts: +70.

The full replay

]]> L 6–24 vs Lions, Week 12 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/lions-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/lions-at-colts Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Colts 24–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −3.

The full replay

]]> W 28–27 at Jets, Week 11 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/colts-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/colts-at-jets Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Jets 28–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +29.

The full replay

]]> L 20–30 vs Bills, Week 10 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/bills-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/bills-at-colts Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Colts 30–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 13–21 at Vikings, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/colts-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/colts-at-vikings Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Colts 21–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Vikings win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 at Texans, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/colts-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/colts-at-texans Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Colts 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −11.

The full replay

]]> W 16–10 vs Dolphins, Week 7 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/dolphins-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/dolphins-at-colts Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Dolphins 16–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +23.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 at Titans, Week 6 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/colts-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/colts-at-titans Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Titans 20–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 34–37 at Jaguars, Week 5 2024: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 37–34, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: −86.

The full replay

]]> W 27–24 vs Steelers, Week 4 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/steelers-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/steelers-at-colts Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Steelers 27–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Colts: +34.

The full replay

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