Jacksonville Jaguars: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/jacksonville-jaguars Every Jacksonville Jaguars game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 33–10 at Ravens, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/jaguars-at-ravens https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/jaguars-at-ravens Fri, 06 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Ravens 33–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 42–7 vs Colts, Week 8 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 42–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +4.

The full replay

]]> L 31–34 vs Texans, Week 6 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/texans-vs-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/texans-vs-jaguars Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 34–31, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −51.

The full replay

]]> W 19–17 vs Eagles, Week 5 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/eagles-vs-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/eagles-vs-jaguars Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Eagles 19–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +16.

The game turned on a luck play: C. Little made a 57-yard field goal (Q4, 0:01 left).

The full replay

]]> W 22–17 at Bengals, Week 4 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/jaguars-at-bengals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/jaguars-at-bengals Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Bengals 22–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +28.

The full replay

]]> W 35–6 vs Patriots, Week 3 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/patriots-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/patriots-at-jaguars Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Patriots 35–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +7.

The full replay

]]> L 13–20 at Broncos, Week 2 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/jaguars-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/jaguars-at-broncos Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Jaguars 20–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −40.

The full replay

]]> W 34–10 vs Browns, Week 1 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/browns-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/browns-at-jaguars Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Browns 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 24–27 vs Bills, Wild Card 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/bills-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/bills-at-jaguars Mon, 12 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Jaguars 27–24, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Bills win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −40.

The full replay

]]> W 41–7 vs Titans, Week 18 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/titans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/titans-at-jaguars Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Titans 41–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: 0.

The full replay

]]> W 23–17 at Colts, Week 17 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/jaguars-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/jaguars-at-colts Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 23–17, but the replays lean toward the Colts: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +61.

The full replay

]]> W 34–20 at Broncos, Week 16 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jaguars-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jaguars-at-broncos Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Broncos 34–20, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Jaguars win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +44.

The full replay

]]> W 48–20 vs Jets, Week 15 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/jets-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/jets-at-jaguars Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Jets 48–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +1.

The full replay

]]> W 36–19 vs Colts, Week 14 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 36–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +22.

The full replay

]]> W 25–3 at Titans, Week 13 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/jaguars-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/jaguars-at-titans Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Titans 25–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 27–24 at Cardinals, Week 12 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/jaguars-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/jaguars-at-cardinals Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Cardinals 27–24, but the replays lean toward the Cardinals: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +67.

The full replay

]]> W 35–6 vs Chargers, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chargers-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chargers-at-jaguars Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Chargers 35–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +5.

The full replay

]]> L 29–36 at Texans, Week 10 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/jaguars-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/jaguars-at-texans Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 36–29, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −6.

The full replay

]]> W 30–29 at Raiders, Week 9 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/jaguars-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/jaguars-at-raiders Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Raiders 30–29, but the replays lean toward the Raiders: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +77.

The full replay

]]> L 7–35 vs Rams, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/rams-vs-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/rams-vs-jaguars Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Jaguars 35–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −11.

The full replay

]]> L 12–20 vs Seahawks, Week 6 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/seahawks-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/seahawks-at-jaguars Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Jaguars 20–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −6.

The full replay

]]> W 31–28 vs Chiefs, Week 5 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/chiefs-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/chiefs-at-jaguars Tue, 07 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Chiefs 31–28, but the replays lean toward the Chiefs: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +69.

The game turned on a luck play: Defensive Pass Interference on the Chiefs (Chamarri Conner), 13 yards, wiping out the play (Q4, 0:38 left).

The full replay

]]> W 26–21 at 49ers, Week 4 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jaguars-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jaguars-at-49ers Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the 49ers 26–21, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Jaguars win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +52.

The full replay

]]> W 17–10 vs Texans, Week 3 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/texans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/texans-at-jaguars Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Texans 17–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +17.

The full replay

]]> L 27–31 at Bengals, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/jaguars-at-bengals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/jaguars-at-bengals Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Jaguars 31–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −35.

The game turned on a luck play: B. Thomas dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 3:47 left).

The full replay

]]> W 26–10 vs Panthers, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/panthers-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/panthers-at-jaguars Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Panthers 26–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +35.

The full replay

]]> L 23–26 at Colts, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/jaguars-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/jaguars-at-colts Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Jaguars 26–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −13.

The full replay

]]> W 20–13 vs Titans, Week 17 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/titans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/titans-at-jaguars Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Titans 20–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +28.

The full replay

]]> L 14–19 at Raiders, Week 16 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/jaguars-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/jaguars-at-raiders Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Jaguars 19–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 25–32 vs Jets, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/jets-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/jets-at-jaguars Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jets beat the Jaguars 32–25, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jets win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −13.

The full replay

]]> W 10–6 at Titans, Week 14 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/jaguars-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/jaguars-at-titans Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Titans 10–6, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +28.

The full replay

]]> L 20–23 vs Texans, Week 13 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/texans-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/texans-at-jaguars Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 6–52 at Lions, Week 11 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/jaguars-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/jaguars-at-lions Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Jaguars 52–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: 0.

The full replay

]]> L 7–12 vs Vikings, Week 10 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/vikings-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/vikings-at-jaguars Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Jaguars 12–7, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 23–28 at Eagles, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/jaguars-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/jaguars-at-eagles Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Jaguars 28–23, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −38.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 vs Packers, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/packers-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/packers-at-jaguars Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Jaguars 30–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −10.

The full replay

]]> W 32–16 vs Patriots, Week 7 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/patriots-vs-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/patriots-vs-jaguars Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Patriots 32–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 16–35 at Bears, Week 6 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/jaguars-vs-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/jaguars-vs-bears Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Jaguars 35–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −8.

The full replay

]]> W 37–34 vs Colts, Week 5 2024: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/colts-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/colts-at-jaguars Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Colts 37–34, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: +86.

The full replay

]]> L 20–24 at Texans, Week 4 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/jaguars-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/jaguars-at-texans Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Jaguars 24–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Jaguars: −12.

The full replay

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