Las Vegas Raiders: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/las-vegas-raiders Every Las Vegas Raiders game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us L 17–38 at 49ers, Week 9 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/raiders-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/raiders-at-49ers Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Raiders 38–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −2.

The full replay

]]> W 38–33 at Jets, Week 8 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/raiders-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/raiders-at-jets Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Jets 38–33, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +51.

The full replay

]]> L 21–35 vs Rams, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/rams-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/rams-at-raiders Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Raiders 35–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 30–33 vs Bills, Week 6 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bills-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/bills-at-raiders Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Raiders 33–30, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −17.

The full replay

]]> L 17–45 at Patriots, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/raiders-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/raiders-at-patriots Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Raiders 45–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 vs Chiefs, Week 4 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/chiefs-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/chiefs-at-raiders Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Raiders 30–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chiefs win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −50.

The full replay

]]> W 35–27 at Saints, Week 3 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/raiders-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/raiders-at-saints Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Saints 35–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +53.

The full replay

]]> W 26–14 at Chargers, Week 2 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/raiders-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/raiders-at-chargers Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Chargers 26–14, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +29.

The full replay

]]> W 27–13 vs Dolphins, Week 1 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/dolphins-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/dolphins-at-raiders Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Dolphins 27–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +56.

The full replay

]]> W 14–12 vs Chiefs, Week 18 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chiefs-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chiefs-at-raiders Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Chiefs 14–12, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +46.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Carlson made a 60-yard field goal (Q4, 0:13 left).

The full replay

]]> L 10–34 vs Giants, Week 17 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/giants-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/giants-at-raiders Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Raiders 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Giants win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 21–23 at Texans, Week 16 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/raiders-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/raiders-at-texans Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Raiders 23–21, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −47.

The full replay

]]> L 0–31 at Eagles, Week 15 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/raiders-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/raiders-at-eagles Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Raiders 31–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Eagles win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: 0.

The full replay

]]> L 17–24 vs Broncos, Week 14 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/broncos-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/broncos-at-raiders Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 24–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −27.

The full replay

]]> L 14–31 at Chargers, Week 13 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/raiders-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/raiders-at-chargers Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 31–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 10–24 vs Browns, Week 12 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/browns-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/browns-at-raiders Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Browns beat the Raiders 24–10, but the replays lean toward the Raiders: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Raiders: −62.

The full replay

]]> L 16–33 vs Cowboys, Week 11 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/cowboys-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/cowboys-at-raiders Tue, 18 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cowboys beat the Raiders 33–16, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cowboys win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −6.

The full replay

]]> L 7–10 at Broncos, Week 10 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/raiders-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/raiders-at-broncos Fri, 07 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 10–7, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −55.

The full replay

]]> L 29–30 vs Jaguars, Week 9 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/jaguars-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/jaguars-at-raiders Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Raiders 30–29, but the replays lean toward the Raiders: they take 8 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Raiders: −77.

The full replay

]]> L 0–31 at Chiefs, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/raiders-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/raiders-at-chiefs Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Raiders 31–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −2.

The full replay

]]> W 20–10 vs Titans, Week 6 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/titans-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/titans-at-raiders Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Titans 20–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +6.

The full replay

]]> L 6–40 at Colts, Week 5 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/raiders-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/raiders-at-colts Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Raiders 40–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −14.

The full replay

]]> L 24–25 vs Bears, Week 4 2025: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bears-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/bears-at-raiders Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Raiders 25–24, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −82.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Carlson had a 54-yard field goal blocked (Q4, 0:38 left).

The full replay

]]> L 24–41 at Commanders, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/raiders-at-commanders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/raiders-at-commanders Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Raiders 41–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Commanders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 9–20 vs Chargers, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/chargers-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/chargers-at-raiders Tue, 16 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 20–9, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −24.

The full replay

]]> W 20–13 at Patriots, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/raiders-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/raiders-at-patriots Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Patriots 20–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 20–34 vs Chargers, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chargers-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chargers-at-raiders Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 34–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −5.

The full replay

]]> W 25–10 at Saints, Week 17 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/raiders-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/raiders-at-saints Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Saints 25–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 19–14 vs Jaguars, Week 16 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/jaguars-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/jaguars-at-raiders Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Jaguars 19–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +9.

The full replay

]]> L 9–15 vs Falcons, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/falcons-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/falcons-at-raiders Tue, 17 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Raiders 15–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −13.

The full replay

]]> L 13–28 at Buccaneers, Week 14 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/raiders-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/raiders-at-buccaneers Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Raiders 28–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Buccaneers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 17–19 at Chiefs, Week 13 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/raiders-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/raiders-at-chiefs Sat, 30 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Raiders 19–17, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chiefs win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −48.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Carlson missed a 58-yard field goal (Q4, 2:21 left).

The full replay

]]> L 19–29 vs Broncos, Week 12 2024: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/broncos-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/broncos-at-raiders Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 29–19, but the replays lean toward the Raiders: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Raiders: −71.

The full replay

]]> L 19–34 at Dolphins, Week 11 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/raiders-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/raiders-at-dolphins Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Raiders 34–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −27.

The full replay

]]> L 24–41 at Bengals, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/raiders-at-bengals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/raiders-at-bengals Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Raiders 41–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −5.

The full replay

]]> L 20–27 vs Chiefs, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/chiefs-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/chiefs-at-raiders Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Raiders 27–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −13.

The full replay

]]> L 15–20 at Rams, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/raiders-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/raiders-at-rams Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Raiders 20–15, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 13–32 vs Steelers, Week 6 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/steelers-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/steelers-at-raiders Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Raiders 32–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −25.

The full replay

]]> L 18–34 at Broncos, Week 5 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/raiders-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/raiders-at-broncos Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Raiders 34–18, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Broncos win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: −55.

The full replay

]]> W 20–16 vs Browns, Week 4 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/browns-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/browns-at-raiders Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Browns 20–16, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Raiders: +24.

The game turned on a luck play: Offensive Holding on the Browns, 9 yards, wiping out the play (Q4, 10:28 left).

The full replay

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