Los Angeles Chargers: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/los-angeles-chargers Every Los Angeles Chargers game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us L 22–44 vs Texans, Week 9 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/texans-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/texans-at-chargers Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 44–22, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −6.

The full replay

]]> L 9–24 at Rams, Week 8 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/chargers-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/chargers-at-rams Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Chargers 24–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −7.

The full replay

]]> L 6–22 at Chiefs, Week 6 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/chargers-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/chargers-at-chiefs Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Chargers 22–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 17–23 vs Broncos, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/broncos-at-chargers Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chargers 23–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −29.

The full replay

]]> L 23–30 at Seahawks, Week 4 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/chargers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/chargers-at-seahawks Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Chargers 30–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −19.

The full replay

]]> L 16–24 at Bills, Week 3 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/chargers-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/chargers-at-bills Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Chargers 24–16, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −30.

The full replay

]]> L 14–26 vs Raiders, Week 2 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/raiders-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/raiders-at-chargers Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Chargers 26–14, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −29.

The full replay

]]> L 14–26 vs Cardinals, Week 1 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/cardinals-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/cardinals-at-chargers Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Chargers 26–14, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Cardinals win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −49.

The full replay

]]> L 3–16 at Patriots, Wild Card 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/chargers-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/chargers-at-patriots Mon, 12 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Chargers 16–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −8.

The full replay

]]> L 3–19 at Broncos, Week 18 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chargers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/chargers-at-broncos Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Chargers 19–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Broncos win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 16–20 vs Texans, Week 17 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/texans-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/texans-at-chargers Sun, 28 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 20–16, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −35.

The full replay

]]> W 34–17 at Cowboys, Week 16 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/chargers-at-cowboys https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/chargers-at-cowboys Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Cowboys 34–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +38.

The full replay

]]> W 16–13 at Chiefs, Week 15 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/chargers-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/chargers-at-chiefs Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Chiefs 16–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chargers win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +48.

The full replay

]]> W 22–19 vs Eagles, Week 14 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/eagles-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/eagles-at-chargers Tue, 09 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Eagles 22–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chargers win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +49.

The full replay

]]> W 31–14 vs Raiders, Week 13 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/raiders-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/raiders-at-chargers Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 31–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +10.

The full replay

]]> L 6–35 at Jaguars, Week 11 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chargers-at-jaguars https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/chargers-at-jaguars Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the Chargers 35–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jaguars win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −5.

The full replay

]]> W 25–10 vs Steelers, Week 10 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/steelers-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/steelers-at-chargers Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Steelers 25–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +23.

The full replay

]]> W 27–20 at Titans, Week 9 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/chargers-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/chargers-at-titans Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Titans 27–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 37–10 vs Vikings, Week 8 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/vikings-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/vikings-at-chargers Fri, 24 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Vikings 37–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 24–38 vs Colts, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/colts-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/colts-at-chargers Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Chargers 38–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −40.

The full replay

]]> W 29–27 at Dolphins, Week 6 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/chargers-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/chargers-at-dolphins Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Dolphins 29–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +27.

The full replay

]]> L 10–27 vs Commanders, Week 5 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/commanders-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/commanders-at-chargers Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Chargers 27–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Commanders win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 18–21 at Giants, Week 4 2025: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/chargers-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/chargers-at-giants Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Giants beat the Chargers 21–18, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −82.

The full replay

]]> W 23–20 vs Broncos, Week 3 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/broncos-at-chargers Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Broncos 23–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +24.

The full replay

]]> W 20–9 at Raiders, Week 2 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/chargers-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/chargers-at-raiders Tue, 16 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 20–9, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +24.

The full replay

]]> W 27–21 vs Chiefs, Week 1 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/chiefs-vs-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/chiefs-vs-chargers Sat, 06 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Chiefs 27–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +15.

The full replay

]]> L 12–32 at Texans, Wild Card 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/chargers-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/wild-card/chargers-at-texans Sun, 12 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Chargers 32–12, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −53.

The full replay

]]> W 34–20 at Raiders, Week 18 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chargers-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/chargers-at-raiders Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Raiders 34–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +5.

The full replay

]]> W 40–7 at Patriots, Week 17 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/chargers-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/chargers-at-patriots Sun, 29 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Patriots 40–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 34–27 vs Broncos, Week 16 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/broncos-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/broncos-at-chargers Fri, 20 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Broncos 34–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +23.

The full replay

]]> L 17–40 vs Buccaneers, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/buccaneers-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/buccaneers-at-chargers Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Chargers 40–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Buccaneers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −6.

The full replay

]]> L 17–19 at Chiefs, Week 14 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/chargers-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/chargers-at-chiefs Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Chargers 19–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −20.

The full replay

]]> W 17–13 at Falcons, Week 13 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/chargers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/chargers-at-falcons Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Falcons 17–13, but the replays lean toward the Falcons: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Chargers: +60.

The full replay

]]> L 23–30 vs Ravens, Week 12 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/ravens-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/ravens-at-chargers Tue, 26 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Chargers 30–23, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −15.

The full replay

]]> W 34–27 vs Bengals, Week 11 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/bengals-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/bengals-at-chargers Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Bengals 34–27, but the replays lean toward the Bengals: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Chargers: +69.

The game turned on a luck play: E. McPherson missed a 51-yard field goal (Q4, 1:52 left).

The full replay

]]> W 27–17 vs Titans, Week 10 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/titans-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/titans-at-chargers Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Titans 27–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +19.

The full replay

]]> W 27–10 at Browns, Week 9 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/chargers-at-browns https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/chargers-at-browns Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Browns 27–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chargers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 26–8 vs Saints, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/saints-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/saints-at-chargers Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Saints 26–8, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +28.

The full replay

]]> L 15–17 at Cardinals, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/chargers-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/chargers-at-cardinals Tue, 22 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Chargers 17–15, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: −28.

The full replay

]]> W 23–16 at Broncos, Week 6 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/chargers-at-broncos https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/chargers-at-broncos Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Broncos 23–16, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Chargers win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Chargers: +45.

The full replay

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