Miami Dolphins: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/miami-dolphins Every Miami Dolphins game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us L 9–19 vs Lions, Week 9 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/lions-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/lions-at-dolphins Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Dolphins 19–9, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Lions win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −15.

The full replay

]]> L 19–24 vs Patriots, Week 8 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/patriots-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-8/patriots-at-dolphins Mon, 02 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Dolphins 24–19, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Patriots win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −58.

The full replay

]]> W 28–25 at Jets, Week 7 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/dolphins-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/dolphins-at-jets Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Jets 28–25, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +21.

The full replay

]]> L 24–31 vs Bengals, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bengals-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/bengals-at-dolphins Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Dolphins 31–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −10.

The full replay

]]> L 10–15 at Vikings, Week 4 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/dolphins-at-vikings https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/dolphins-at-vikings Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Dolphins 15–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −32.

The full replay

]]> L 10–24 vs Chiefs, Week 3 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/chiefs-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/chiefs-at-dolphins Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Dolphins 24–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Chiefs win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 13–35 at 49ers, Week 2 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/dolphins-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/dolphins-at-49ers Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Dolphins 35–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: 0.

The full replay

]]> L 13–27 at Raiders, Week 1 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/dolphins-at-raiders https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/dolphins-at-raiders Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Dolphins 27–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −56.

The full replay

]]> L 10–38 at Patriots, Week 18 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/dolphins-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/dolphins-at-patriots Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Dolphins 38–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: 0.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 vs Buccaneers, Week 17 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/buccaneers-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/buccaneers-at-dolphins Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Buccaneers 20–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +36.

The full replay

]]> L 21–45 vs Bengals, Week 16 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/bengals-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/bengals-at-dolphins Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bengals beat the Dolphins 45–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bengals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −8.

The full replay

]]> L 15–28 at Steelers, Week 15 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/dolphins-at-steelers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/dolphins-at-steelers Tue, 16 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Dolphins 28–15, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −38.

The full replay

]]> W 34–10 at Jets, Week 14 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/dolphins-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/dolphins-at-jets Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Jets 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Dolphins win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 21–17 vs Saints, Week 13 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/saints-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/saints-at-dolphins Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Saints 21–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +28.

The full replay

]]> W 16–13 vs Commanders, Week 11 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/commanders-vs-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/commanders-vs-dolphins Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Commanders 16–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Dolphins win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +43.

The game turned on a luck play: M. Gay missed a 56-yard field goal (Q4, 0:15 left).

The full replay

]]> W 30–13 vs Bills, Week 10 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/bills-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/bills-at-dolphins Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Bills 30–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Dolphins win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +42.

The full replay

]]> L 6–28 vs Ravens, Week 9 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/ravens-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/ravens-at-dolphins Fri, 31 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Ravens beat the Dolphins 28–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Ravens win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −5.

The full replay

]]> W 34–10 at Falcons, Week 8 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/dolphins-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/dolphins-at-falcons Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Falcons 34–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +22.

The full replay

]]> L 6–31 at Browns, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/dolphins-at-browns https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/dolphins-at-browns Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Browns beat the Dolphins 31–6, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −21.

The full replay

]]> L 27–29 vs Chargers, Week 6 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/chargers-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/chargers-at-dolphins Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Dolphins 29–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −27.

The full replay

]]> L 24–27 at Panthers, Week 5 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/dolphins-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/dolphins-at-panthers Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Dolphins 27–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −38.

The full replay

]]> W 27–21 vs Jets, Week 4 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jets-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jets-at-dolphins Tue, 30 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Jets 27–21, but the replays lean toward the Jets: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +71.

The full replay

]]> L 21–31 at Bills, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/dolphins-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/dolphins-at-bills Fri, 19 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Dolphins 31–21, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −11.

The full replay

]]> L 27–33 vs Patriots, Week 2 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/patriots-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/patriots-at-dolphins Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Dolphins 33–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Patriots win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −56.

The full replay

]]> L 8–33 at Colts, Week 1 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/dolphins-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/dolphins-at-colts Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Dolphins 33–8, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Colts win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −6.

The full replay

]]> L 20–32 at Jets, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/dolphins-at-jets https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/dolphins-at-jets Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jets beat the Dolphins 32–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Jets win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −1.

The full replay

]]> W 20–3 at Browns, Week 17 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/dolphins-at-browns https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/dolphins-at-browns Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Browns 20–3, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Dolphins win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +14.

The full replay

]]> W 29–17 vs 49ers, Week 16 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/49ers-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/49ers-at-dolphins Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the 49ers 29–17, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Dolphins win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +57.

The full replay

]]> L 12–20 at Texans, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/dolphins-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/dolphins-at-texans Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the Dolphins 20–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Texans win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −14.

The full replay

]]> W 32–26 vs Jets, Week 14 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/jets-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/jets-at-dolphins Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Jets 32–26, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Dolphins win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +49.

The game turned on a luck play: J. Sanders made a 52-yard field goal (Q4, 0:12 left).

The full replay

]]> L 17–30 at Packers, Week 13 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/dolphins-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/dolphins-at-packers Fri, 29 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Dolphins 30–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −11.

The full replay

]]> W 34–15 vs Patriots, Week 12 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/patriots-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/patriots-at-dolphins Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Patriots 34–15, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Dolphins win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +11.

The full replay

]]> W 34–19 vs Raiders, Week 11 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/raiders-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/raiders-at-dolphins Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Raiders 34–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +27.

The full replay

]]> W 23–15 at Rams, Week 10 2024: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/dolphins-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/dolphins-at-rams Tue, 12 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Rams 23–15, but the replays lean toward the Rams: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +72.

The full replay

]]> L 27–30 at Bills, Week 9 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/dolphins-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/dolphins-at-bills Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Dolphins 30–27, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −22.

The full replay

]]> L 27–28 vs Cardinals, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cardinals-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cardinals-at-dolphins Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Dolphins 28–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cardinals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −7.

The full replay

]]> L 10–16 at Colts, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/dolphins-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/dolphins-at-colts Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Colts beat the Dolphins 16–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −23.

The full replay

]]> W 15–10 at Patriots, Week 5 2024: won against the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/dolphins-at-patriots https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/dolphins-at-patriots Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Patriots 15–10, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: +84.

The full replay

]]> L 12–31 vs Titans, Week 4 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/titans-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/titans-at-dolphins Tue, 01 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Titans beat the Dolphins 31–12, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Titans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −49.

The full replay

]]> L 3–24 at Seahawks, Week 3 2024: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-3/dolphins-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-3/dolphins-at-seahawks Mon, 23 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Dolphins 24–3, but the replays lean toward the Dolphins: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Dolphins: −64.

The full replay

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