New Orleans Saints: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/new-orleans-saints Every New Orleans Saints game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 23–22 vs Browns, Week 9 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/browns-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/browns-at-saints Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Browns 23–22, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Saints win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +51.

The full replay

]]> L 10–16 vs Steelers, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/steelers-vs-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/steelers-vs-saints Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Steelers beat the Saints 16–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −39.

The full replay

]]> W 34–27 at Giants, Week 6 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/saints-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/saints-at-giants Mon, 19 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Giants 34–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Saints win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +52.

The full replay

]]> L 13–23 vs Vikings, Week 5 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/vikings-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/vikings-at-saints Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Vikings beat the Saints 23–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −21.

The full replay

]]> L 24–45 vs Falcons, Week 4 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/falcons-at-saints Tue, 06 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 45–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 27–35 vs Raiders, Week 3 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/raiders-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/raiders-at-saints Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Saints 35–27, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Raiders win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −53.

The full replay

]]> W 24–17 at Ravens, Week 2 2026: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/saints-at-ravens https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/saints-at-ravens Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Ravens 24–17, but the replays lean toward the Ravens: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Saints: +73.

The full replay

]]> L 30–31 at Lions, Week 1 2026: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/saints-at-lions https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/saints-at-lions Mon, 14 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the Saints 31–30, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Lions win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −57.

The game turned on a luck play: D. Carlson missed a 62-yard field goal (Q4, 0:02 left).

The full replay

]]> L 17–19 at Falcons, Week 18 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/saints-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/saints-at-falcons Mon, 05 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 19–17, but the replays lean toward the Saints: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Saints: −71.

The full replay

]]> W 34–26 at Titans, Week 17 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/saints-at-titans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/saints-at-titans Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Titans 34–26, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 29–6 vs Jets, Week 16 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jets-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/jets-at-saints Mon, 22 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Jets 29–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +5.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 vs Panthers, Week 15 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/panthers-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/panthers-at-saints Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Panthers 20–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +29.

The game turned on a luck play: T. McMillan dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 2:17 left).

The full replay

]]> W 24–20 at Buccaneers, Week 14 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/saints-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-14/saints-at-buccaneers Mon, 08 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Buccaneers 24–20, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Saints win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +49.

The full replay

]]> L 17–21 at Dolphins, Week 13 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/saints-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/saints-at-dolphins Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the Saints 21–17, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −28.

The full replay

]]> L 10–24 vs Falcons, Week 12 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/falcons-at-saints Mon, 24 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 24–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Falcons win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −5.

The full replay

]]> W 17–7 at Panthers, Week 10 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/saints-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/saints-at-panthers Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Panthers 17–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +18.

The full replay

]]> L 10–34 at Rams, Week 9 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/saints-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/saints-at-rams Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Saints 34–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −2.

The full replay

]]> L 3–23 vs Buccaneers, Week 8 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/buccaneers-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/buccaneers-at-saints Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Saints 23–3, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −30.

The full replay

]]> L 14–26 at Bears, Week 7 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/saints-at-bears https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/saints-at-bears Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bears beat the Saints 26–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bears win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 19–25 vs Patriots, Week 6 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/patriots-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/patriots-at-saints Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Patriots beat the Saints 25–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Patriots win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −15.

The full replay

]]> W 26–14 vs Giants, Week 5 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/giants-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/giants-at-saints Mon, 06 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Giants 26–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +15.

The full replay

]]> L 19–31 at Bills, Week 4 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/saints-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/saints-at-bills Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the Saints 31–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 13–44 at Seahawks, Week 3 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/saints-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/saints-at-seahawks Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the Saints 44–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 21–26 vs 49ers, Week 2 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/49ers-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/49ers-at-saints Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Saints 26–21, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −23.

The full replay

]]> L 13–20 vs Cardinals, Week 1 2025: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/cardinals-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/cardinals-at-saints Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the Saints 20–13, but the replays lean toward the Saints: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Saints: −62.

The full replay

]]> L 19–27 at Buccaneers, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/saints-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/saints-at-buccaneers Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Saints 27–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Buccaneers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −13.

The full replay

]]> L 10–25 vs Raiders, Week 17 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/raiders-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/raiders-at-saints Mon, 30 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Raiders beat the Saints 25–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Raiders win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −3.

The full replay

]]> L 0–34 at Packers, Week 16 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/saints-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/saints-at-packers Tue, 24 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the Saints 34–0, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −1.

The full replay

]]> L 19–20 vs Commanders, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/commanders-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/commanders-at-saints Mon, 16 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Commanders beat the Saints 20–19, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −36.

The full replay

]]> W 14–11 at Giants, Week 14 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/saints-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/saints-at-giants Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Giants 14–11, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +9.

The full replay

]]> L 14–21 vs Rams, Week 13 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/rams-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/rams-at-saints Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the Saints 21–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −16.

The full replay

]]> W 35–14 vs Browns, Week 11 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/browns-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/browns-at-saints Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Browns 35–14, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +32.

The full replay

]]> W 20–17 vs Falcons, Week 10 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/falcons-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/falcons-at-saints Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Saints beat the Falcons 20–17, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Saints win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: +54.

The full replay

]]> L 22–23 at Panthers, Week 9 2024: lost one the replays favored https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/saints-at-panthers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-9/saints-at-panthers Mon, 04 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Panthers beat the Saints 23–22, a result the replays rarely give: with the way both teams actually played, the Saints win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −89.

The full replay

]]> L 8–26 at Chargers, Week 8 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/saints-at-chargers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/saints-at-chargers Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chargers beat the Saints 26–8, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −28.

The full replay

]]> L 10–33 vs Broncos, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/broncos-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/broncos-at-saints Fri, 18 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Broncos beat the Saints 33–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −31.

The full replay

]]> L 27–51 vs Buccaneers, Week 6 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/buccaneers-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/buccaneers-at-saints Mon, 14 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the Saints 51–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Buccaneers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −7.

The full replay

]]> L 13–26 at Chiefs, Week 5 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/saints-at-chiefs https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/saints-at-chiefs Tue, 08 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the Saints 26–13, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −24.

The full replay

]]> L 24–26 at Falcons, Week 4 2024: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/saints-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-4/saints-at-falcons Mon, 30 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the Saints 26–24, but the replays lean toward the Saints: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the Saints: −70.

The game turned on a luck play: Y. Koo made a 58-yard field goal (Q4, 0:07 left).

The full replay

]]> L 12–15 vs Eagles, Week 3 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-3/eagles-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-3/eagles-at-saints Mon, 23 Sep 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Eagles beat the Saints 15–12, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Eagles win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the Saints: −7.

The full replay

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