San Francisco 49ers: every game, adjusted for luck · Luck Adjusted https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/teams/san-francisco-49ers Every San Francisco 49ers game replayed 4,000 times: who deserved to win, and the luck that decided it. en-us W 38–17 vs Raiders, Week 9 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/raiders-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-9/raiders-at-49ers Mon, 09 Nov 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Raiders 38–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +2.

The full replay

]]> L 20–29 at Falcons, Week 7 2026: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/49ers-at-falcons https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-7/49ers-at-falcons Mon, 26 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Falcons beat the 49ers 29–20, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −34.

The full replay

]]> W 23–17 vs Commanders, Week 6 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/commanders-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-6/commanders-at-49ers Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Commanders 23–17, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +12.

The full replay

]]> W 32–29 at Seahawks, Week 5 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/49ers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-5/49ers-at-seahawks Mon, 12 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Seahawks 32–29, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 24–14 vs Broncos, Week 4 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/broncos-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-4/broncos-at-49ers Mon, 05 Oct 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Broncos 24–14, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +3.

The full replay

]]> W 36–30 vs Cardinals, Week 3 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/cardinals-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-3/cardinals-at-49ers Mon, 28 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Cardinals 36–30, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +8.

The full replay

]]> W 35–13 vs Dolphins, Week 2 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/dolphins-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-2/dolphins-at-49ers Mon, 21 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Dolphins 35–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: 0.

The full replay

]]> W 27–7 at Rams, Week 1 2026: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/49ers-vs-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2026/week-1/49ers-vs-rams Fri, 11 Sep 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Rams 27–7, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +11.

The full replay

]]> L 6–41 at Seahawks, Divisional round 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/49ers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/divisional/49ers-at-seahawks Sun, 18 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the 49ers 41–6, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Seahawks win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −8.

The full replay

]]> W 23–19 at Eagles, Wild Card 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/49ers-at-eagles https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/wild-card/49ers-at-eagles Mon, 12 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Eagles 23–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +7.

The full replay

]]> L 3–13 vs Seahawks, Week 18 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/seahawks-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-18/seahawks-at-49ers Sun, 04 Jan 2026 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the 49ers 13–3, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Seahawks win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −45.

The full replay

]]> W 42–38 vs Bears, Week 17 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/bears-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-17/bears-at-49ers Mon, 29 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Bears 42–38, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +24.

The game turned on a luck play: L. Burden dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 0:36 left).

The full replay

]]> W 48–27 at Colts, Week 16 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/49ers-at-colts https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-16/49ers-at-colts Tue, 23 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Colts 48–27, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +4.

The full replay

]]> W 37–24 vs Titans, Week 15 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/titans-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-15/titans-at-49ers Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Titans 37–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +5.

The full replay

]]> W 26–8 at Browns, Week 13 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/49ers-at-browns https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-13/49ers-at-browns Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Browns 26–8, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +2.

The full replay

]]> W 20–9 vs Panthers, Week 12 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/panthers-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-12/panthers-at-49ers Tue, 25 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Panthers 20–9, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +21.

The full replay

]]> W 41–22 at Cardinals, Week 11 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/49ers-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-11/49ers-at-cardinals Mon, 17 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Cardinals 41–22, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +24.

The full replay

]]> L 26–42 vs Rams, Week 10 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/rams-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-10/rams-at-49ers Mon, 10 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the 49ers 42–26, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Rams win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −10.

The full replay

]]> W 34–24 at Giants, Week 9 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/49ers-at-giants https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-9/49ers-at-giants Mon, 03 Nov 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Giants 34–24, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +22.

The full replay

]]> L 15–26 at Texans, Week 8 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/49ers-at-texans https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-8/49ers-at-texans Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Texans beat the 49ers 26–15, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Texans win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −52.

The full replay

]]> W 20–10 vs Falcons, Week 7 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/falcons-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-7/falcons-at-49ers Mon, 20 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Falcons 20–10, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +26.

The full replay

]]> L 19–30 at Buccaneers, Week 6 2025: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/49ers-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-6/49ers-at-buccaneers Mon, 13 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Buccaneers beat the 49ers 30–19, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Buccaneers win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −20.

The full replay

]]> W 26–23 at Rams, Week 5 2025: had the bounces https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/49ers-at-rams https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-5/49ers-at-rams Fri, 03 Oct 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Rams 26–23, but the replays lean toward the Rams: they take 7 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the 49ers: +74.

The game turned on a luck play: the Rams were stopped on 4th & 1 (OT, 3:41 left).

The full replay

]]> L 21–26 vs Jaguars, Week 4 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jaguars-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-4/jaguars-at-49ers Mon, 29 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Jaguars beat the 49ers 26–21, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Jaguars win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −52.

The full replay

]]> W 16–15 vs Cardinals, Week 3 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cardinals-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-3/cardinals-at-49ers Mon, 22 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Cardinals 16–15, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +27.

The full replay

]]> W 26–21 at Saints, Week 2 2025: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/49ers-at-saints https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-2/49ers-at-saints Mon, 15 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Saints 26–21, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 8 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +23.

The full replay

]]> W 17–13 at Seahawks, Week 1 2025: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/49ers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2025/week-1/49ers-at-seahawks Mon, 08 Sep 2025 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Seahawks 17–13, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the 49ers win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +47.

The game turned on a luck play: the Seahawks fumbled and the 49ers recovered (Q4, 0:42 left).

The full replay

]]> L 24–47 at Cardinals, Week 18 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/49ers-at-cardinals https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-18/49ers-at-cardinals Mon, 06 Jan 2025 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the 49ers 47–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Cardinals win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −9.

The full replay

]]> L 34–40 vs Lions, Week 17 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/lions-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-17/lions-at-49ers Tue, 31 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Lions beat the 49ers 40–34, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Lions win 5 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −46.

The full replay

]]> L 17–29 at Dolphins, Week 16 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/49ers-at-dolphins https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-16/49ers-at-dolphins Mon, 23 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Dolphins beat the 49ers 29–17, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Dolphins win 4 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −57.

The full replay

]]> L 6–12 vs Rams, Week 15 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/rams-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-15/rams-at-49ers Fri, 13 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Rams beat the 49ers 12–6, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −38.

The full replay

]]> W 38–13 vs Bears, Week 14 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bears-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-14/bears-at-49ers Mon, 09 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Bears 38–13, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 10–35 at Bills, Week 13 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/49ers-at-bills https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-13/49ers-at-bills Mon, 02 Dec 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Bills beat the 49ers 35–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Bills win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −3.

The full replay

]]> L 10–38 at Packers, Week 12 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/49ers-at-packers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-12/49ers-at-packers Mon, 25 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Packers beat the 49ers 38–10, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the Packers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −4.

The full replay

]]> L 17–20 vs Seahawks, Week 11 2024: unlucky https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/seahawks-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-11/seahawks-at-49ers Mon, 18 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Seahawks beat the 49ers 20–17, but the replays lean toward the 49ers: they take 6 of 10 with the same day's form.

Luck index for the 49ers: −61.

The full replay

]]> W 23–20 at Buccaneers, Week 10 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/49ers-at-buccaneers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-10/49ers-at-buccaneers Mon, 11 Nov 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Buccaneers 23–20, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 9 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +14.

The game turned on a luck play: R. White dropped a catchable pass (Q4, 1:20 left).

The full replay

]]> W 30–24 vs Cowboys, Week 8 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cowboys-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-8/cowboys-at-49ers Mon, 28 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Cowboys 30–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +2.

The full replay

]]> L 18–28 vs Chiefs, Week 7 2024: behind in the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/chiefs-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-7/chiefs-at-49ers Mon, 21 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Chiefs beat the 49ers 28–18, and the replays lean their way: with the same day's form, they win 7 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −29.

The full replay

]]> W 36–24 at Seahawks, Week 6 2024: backed by the replays https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/49ers-at-seahawks https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-6/49ers-at-seahawks Fri, 11 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The 49ers beat the Seahawks 36–24, and the replays back it up: with the way both teams actually played, the 49ers win 10 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: +1.

The full replay

]]> L 23–24 vs Cardinals, Week 5 2024: a coin flip https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/cardinals-at-49ers https://luckadjusted.com/nfl/games/2024/week-5/cardinals-at-49ers Mon, 07 Oct 2024 12:00:00 GMT The Cardinals beat the 49ers 24–23, but the replays call it close to a coin flip: with the way both teams played, the Cardinals win 6 of 10.

Luck index for the 49ers: −41.

The full replay

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