Download the data
Every table behind the site as CSV, one file per season. Free to use, including commercially, under CC BY-SA 4.0: credit “Luck Adjusted (luckadjusted.com)” and share what you build from it under the same licence.
The files update with the site, usually the morning after games. NFL tables are built from nflverse play-by-play (CC BY 4.0) and FTN charting via nflverse (CC BY-SA 4.0), college tables from CollegeFootballData.com play-by-play via cfbfastR and SportsDataverse. How every number is made: NFL, college football.
NFL
College football
| Season | Teams | Games |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | teams.csv | games.csv |
| 2025 | teams.csv | games.csv |
Teams
Every team’s regular season: record, what its play was worth, and luck.
season- –
team- franchise code
name- team name that season
conference- –
division- –
games- –
wins- ties count half
losses- –
points_for- –
points_against- –
replay_wins- sum of “replay with same day’s form” win probabilities
luck_wins- wins minus replay wins
coin_flip_wins- sum of “only coin-flips re-rolled” (at the default momentum)
pythagorean_wins- from points scored and allowed
before_kickoff_wins- sum of closing-line win probabilities
one_score_wins- record in games decided by 8 points or fewer
one_score_losses- –
one_score_ties- –
one_score_replay_wins- –
luck_in_wins_by_play- every luck play’s win-probability swing, summed
referee_calls_wins- judgment and pre-snap calls, in wins
flags_for- flags on opponents
flags_against- flags on the team
Games
Every scored game: the result and the four ways of asking who should have won, from the home team’s side.
season- –
week- –
date- –
game_id- nflverse game id
away- –
home- –
away_score- –
home_score- –
home_spread- closing spread, home team
home_before_kickoff- win probability from the closing line
home_replay_same_form- the headline replay
home_fresh_game- same teams, fresh game
home_coin_flips- only coin-flips re-rolled
home_luck_index- 100 × (result − replay)
home_luck_points- luck in points
url- the game page
Penalties
Accepted penalties by team, regular season, as the league counts them.
season- –
team- franchise code
name- –
games- –
penalties- accepted flags on the team
yards- –
drawn- accepted flags on opponents
drawn_yards- –
calls_wins- what the judgment calls were worth to the team, in wins
most_flagged_for- most common penalty type (count)