La Liga 2026-27 · after matchday 7
La Liga, adjusted for luck.
Every match replayed 4,000 times from what both teams’ goals say: was the result lucky or expected, and the table in the points the goals earn, beside the points teams have.
Results in our source (openfootball) through Sep 20, 2026. Volunteers keep it up to date, so the latest matchdays can take a while to arrive.
Luckiest so far: Betis, +5.1 points against their goals. Unluckiest: Espanyol, −2.7.
Matchday 7: the results the goals liked least
- Espanyol 1–3 Elche
Elche beat Espanyol 3–1, but the goals lean toward Espanyol: 5 wins in 10 to Elche’s 3, 2 end level.
- Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad beat Valencia 3–2, but the goals call it even: Real Sociedad win 3 of 10, Valencia 4, 3 end level.
- Atlético 2–1 Real Madrid
Atlético beat Real Madrid 2–1, but the goals call it even: Atlético win 4 of 10, Real Madrid 4, 2 end level.
- Celta 5–0 Racing
Celta beat Racing 5–0, and the goals lean Celta’s way: 5 wins in 10, 3 for Racing, 2 end level.
Matchday 13: our predictions
- Osasuna v Málaga
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
- Athletic v Espanyol
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
- Real Madrid v Celta
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
- Getafe v Atlético
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
- Sevilla v Betis
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
- Alavés v Deportivo
Sun, Nov 22 · 16:00 CET
The table, in the points the goals earn
| # | Team | Pl | GD | Pts | Goal pts | Luck, pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | +24 | 21 | 17.0 | +4.0 |
| 2▲2 |  Real Madrid | 7 | +10 | 15 | 14.1 | +0.9 |
| 3▼1 |  Atlético | 7 | +9 | 16 | 13.7 | +2.3 |
| 4▲2 |  Alavés | 7 | +5 | 11 | 12.7 | −1.7 |
| 5▲2 |  Deportivo | 7 | +2 | 10 | 11.0 | −1.0 |
| 6▼3 |  Betis | 7 | +2 | 16 | 10.9 | +5.1 |
| 7▲2 |  Villarreal | 7 | +1 | 8 | 10.3 | −2.3 |
| 8▼3 |  Sevilla | 7 | +1 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8 |
| 9▲6 |  Espanyol | 7 | 0 | 7 | 9.7 | −2.7 |
| 10▲4 |  Celta | 7 | +2 | 7 | 9.6 | −2.6 |
| 11▼1 |  Athletic | 6 | +1 | 8 | 9.1 | −1.1 |
| 12▼1 |  Getafe | 7 | −3 | 8 | 7.7 | +0.3 |
| 13▲5 |  Elche | 7 | −6 | 5 | 7.7 | −2.7 |
| 14▼6 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | −4 | 10 | 7.6 | +2.4 |
| 15▼3 |  Rayo | 7 | −5 | 8 | 7.6 | +0.4 |
| 16 |  Racing | 7 | −10 | 7 | 7.3 | −0.3 |
| 17▼4 |  Osasuna | 7 | −7 | 8 | 6.6 | +1.4 |
| 18▼1 |  Levante | 6 | −4 | 5 | 6.4 | −1.4 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | −9 | 4 | 5.8 | −1.8 |
| 20 |  Málaga | 7 | −9 | 3 | 5.1 | −2.1 |
Every matchday, 2026-27
- Matchday 7 Sep 18, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Espanyol 1–3 Elche, 42% of replays
- Matchday 6 Sep 3, 2026 · 9 matches · biggest steal: Alavés 0–1 Valencia, 20% of replays
- Matchday 5 Sep 11, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Racing 2–1 Alavés, 40% of replays
- Matchday 4 Sep 4, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Betis 1–0 Real Madrid, 38% of replays
- Matchday 3 Aug 28, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Levante 5–2 Betis, 45% of replays
- Matchday 2 Aug 20, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Athletic 1–3 Sevilla, 38% of replays
- Matchday 1 Aug 15, 2026 · 10 matches · biggest steal: Celta 1–2 Osasuna, 32% of replays