La Liga predictions, matchday 14

Athletic by 0.3 goals on average, even with Málaga at home.

Likeliest scores

1–1 14%0–1 13%0–0 10%

Goals expected

Málaga 1.0 Athletic 1.3

Levante by 0.5 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 8%

Goals expected

Levante 1.7 Racing 1.3

Barcelona by 1.6 goals on average, even with Deportivo at home.

Likeliest scores

0–2 10%1–2 9%0–3 9%

Goals expected

Deportivo 0.9 Barcelona 2.5

Espanyol by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–0 15%0–0 14%1–1 14%

Goals expected

Espanyol 1.2 Getafe 0.8

Even: Celta and Villarreal are level on form, home advantage included.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%1–2 8%2–1 8%

Goals expected

Celta 1.4 Villarreal 1.5

Valencia by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 14%1–0 12%0–0 9%

Goals expected

Valencia 1.4 Osasuna 1.1

Betis by 0.8 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–0 13%1–1 12%2–0 11%

Goals expected

Betis 1.7 Rayo 0.9

Real Sociedad by 0.4 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 10%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Real Sociedad 1.6 Sevilla 1.2

Real Madrid by 1.5 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

2–0 14%1–0 13%3–0 10%

Goals expected

Real Madrid 2.1 Alavés 0.7

Atlético by 0.7 goals on average, even with Elche at home.

Likeliest scores

1–1 11%1–2 10%0–1 9%

Goals expected

Elche 1.1 Atlético 1.8