The World Cup, adjusted for luck.

Final: the results the goals liked least

• Spain 1–0 Argentina
  66% ESPARG 34%

  Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time, and the goals back it up: from both teams’ goals this tournament, Spain go through 7 times in 10.

Every match of final

The groups, in the points the goals earn

Group A

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Mexico	3	+6	9	7.3	+1.7
2▲1	South Korea	3	−1	3	3.6	−0.6
3▼1	South Africa	3	−1	4	3.2	+0.8
4	Czech Republic	3	−4	1	2.3	−1.3

Group B

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Switzerland	3	+4	7	6.8	+0.2
2	Canada	3	+5	4	4.5	−0.5
3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	3	−1	4	3.3	+0.7
4	Qatar	3	−8	1	2.2	−1.2

Group C

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	United States	3	+4	6	5.3	+0.7
2	Australia	3	0	4	4.2	−0.2
3	Paraguay	3	−2	4	3.4	+0.6
4	Turkey	3	−2	3	3.0	0.0

Group D

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Brazil	3	+6	7	6.6	+0.4
2	Morocco	3	+3	7	6.0	+1.0
3	Scotland	3	−3	3	2.4	+0.6
4	Haiti	3	−6	0	1.6	−1.6

Group E

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Germany	3	+6	6	5.4	+0.6
2	Ivory Coast	3	+2	6	5.2	+0.8
3	Ecuador	3	0	4	3.8	+0.2
4	Curaçao	3	−8	1	1.9	−0.9

Group F

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Netherlands	3	+6	7	6.3	+0.7
2	Japan	3	+4	5	5.5	−0.5
3	Sweden	3	0	4	3.8	+0.2
4	Tunisia	3	−10	0	1.4	−1.4

Group G

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Belgium	3	+4	5	6.1	−1.1
2	Egypt	3	+2	5	4.6	+0.4
3	Iran	3	0	3	3.8	−0.8
4	New Zealand	3	−6	1	2.1	−1.1

Group H

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Spain	3	+5	7	7.0	0.0
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	4.0	−1.0
3	Uruguay	3	−1	2	3.1	−1.1
4	Saudi Arabia	3	−4	2	2.2	−0.2

Group I

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Argentina	3	+7	9	7.6	+1.4
2	Austria	3	0	4	3.9	+0.1
3	Algeria	3	−2	4	3.2	+0.8
4	Jordan	3	−5	0	2.2	−2.2

Group J

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	France	3	+8	9	6.5	+2.5
2	Norway	3	+1	6	5.3	+0.7
3	Senegal	3	+2	3	4.4	−1.4
4	Iraq	3	−11	0	0.9	−0.9

Group K

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	England	3	+4	7	6.7	+0.3
2	Croatia	3	0	6	4.0	+2.0
3	Ghana	3	0	4	3.7	+0.3
4	Panama	3	−4	0	1.9	−1.9

Group L

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts	Goal pts	Luck, pts
1	Colombia	3	+3	7	5.5	+1.5
2	Portugal	3	+5	5	5.4	−0.4
3	DR Congo	3	+1	4	4.1	−0.1
4	Uzbekistan	3	−9	0	1.3	−1.3

The full group tables, with the real one beside it

Every round, 2026

• Final Jul 19, 2026 · 1 match · every winner led the replays
• Third-place play-off Jul 18, 2026 · 1 match · biggest steal: France 4–6 England, 47% of replays
• Semi-finals Jul 14, 2026 · 2 matches · every winner led the replays
• Quarter-finals Jul 9, 2026 · 4 matches · every winner led the replays
• Round of 16 Jul 4, 2026 · 8 matches · biggest steal: Brazil 1–2 Norway, 45% of replays
• Round of 32 Jun 28, 2026 · 16 matches · biggest steal: Germany 1–1 Paraguay, 39% of replays
• Matchday 3 Jun 24, 2026 · 24 matches · biggest steal: Turkey 3–2 United States, 34% of replays
• Matchday 2 Jun 18, 2026 · 24 matches · every winner led the replays
• Matchday 1 Jun 11, 2026 · 24 matches · every winner led the replays

Other tournaments: 2018 · 2022