luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

England: how lucky, season by season

England in the World Cup 2026: 7 points from goals worth 6.7 (+0.3 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
20263786.75+0.3
20223716.54+0.5
20183666.63−0.6

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 18, 2026France 4–6 EnglandThird-place play-off 37% · 21% · 42%
Jul 15, 2026England 1–2 Argentina (AET)Semi-finals 37% · 24% · 39%
Jul 11, 2026Norway 1–2 England (AET)Quarter-finals 48% · 21% · 31%
Jul 5, 2026Mexico 2–3 EnglandRound of 16 44% · 22% · 34%
Jul 1, 2026England 2–1 DR CongoRound of 32 58% · 22% · 20%
Jun 27, 2026Panama 0–2 EnglandMatchday 3 80% · 16% · 4%
Jun 23, 2026England 0–0 GhanaMatchday 2 63% · 22% · 14%
Jun 17, 2026England 4–2 CroatiaMatchday 1 61% · 18% · 21%
Dec 10, 2022England 1–2 FranceQuarter-finals 63% · 20% · 16%
Dec 4, 2022England 3–0 SenegalRound of 16 46% · 29% · 24%
Nov 29, 2022Wales 0–3 EnglandMatchday 3 96% · 3% · 1%
Nov 25, 2022England 0–0 United StatesMatchday 2 27% · 44% · 29%
Nov 21, 2022England 6–2 IranMatchday 1 73% · 16% · 11%
Jul 14, 2018Belgium 2–0 EnglandThird-place play-off 27% · 26% · 47%
Jul 11, 2018Croatia 2–1 England (AET)Semi-finals 19% · 34% · 47%
Jul 7, 2018Sweden 0–2 EnglandQuarter-finals 45% · 32% · 22%
Jul 3, 2018Colombia 1–1 England (pens)Round of 16 74% · 18% · 8%
Jun 28, 2018England 0–1 BelgiumMatchday 3 34% · 31% · 35%
Jun 24, 2018England 6–1 PanamaMatchday 2 92% · 5% · 2%
Jun 18, 2018Tunisia 1–2 EnglandMatchday 1 77% · 14% · 9%

England and luck

Was England lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: England took 7 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 6.7, so +0.3 points of luck.

What was England’s luckiest season?

2022: 7 points from play worth 6.5 (+0.5). Their unluckiest was 2018: 6 points from 6.6 (−0.6).