luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Brazil: how lucky, season by season

Brazil in the World Cup 2026: 7 points from goals worth 6.6 (+0.4 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
20263756.66+0.4
20223677.21−1.2
20183747.22−0.2

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 5, 2026Brazil 1–2 NorwayRound of 16 42% · 24% · 33%
Jun 29, 2026Brazil 2–1 JapanRound of 32 53% · 26% · 21%
Jun 24, 2026Scotland 0–3 BrazilMatchday 3 77% · 21% · 3%
Jun 19, 2026Brazil 3–0 HaitiMatchday 2 81% · 13% · 6%
Jun 13, 2026Brazil 1–1 MoroccoMatchday 1 42% · 29% · 30%
Dec 9, 2022Croatia 1–1 Brazil (pens)Quarter-finals 53% · 33% · 15%
Dec 5, 2022Brazil 4–1 South KoreaRound of 16 98% · 2% · 0%
Dec 2, 2022Cameroon 1–0 BrazilMatchday 3 80% · 15% · 5%
Nov 28, 2022Brazil 1–0 SwitzerlandMatchday 2 52% · 36% · 13%
Nov 24, 2022Brazil 2–0 SerbiaMatchday 1 86% · 12% · 2%
Jul 6, 2018Brazil 1–2 BelgiumQuarter-finals 75% · 17% · 8%
Jul 2, 2018Brazil 2–0 MexicoRound of 16 92% · 6% · 3%
Jun 27, 2018Serbia 0–2 BrazilMatchday 3 59% · 23% · 18%
Jun 22, 2018Brazil 2–0 Costa RicaMatchday 2 94% · 5% · 1%
Jun 17, 2018Brazil 1–1 SwitzerlandMatchday 1 73% · 19% · 8%

Brazil and luck

Was Brazil lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Brazil took 7 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 6.6, so +0.4 points of luck.

What was Brazil’s luckiest season?

2026: 7 points from goals worth 6.6 (+0.4). Their unluckiest was 2022: 6 points from 7.2 (−1.2).