luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Japan: how lucky, season by season

Japan in the World Cup 2026: 5 points from goals worth 5.5 (−0.5 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202635175.512−0.5
20223693.820+2.2
201834154.213−0.2

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jun 29, 2026Brazil 2–1 JapanRound of 32 21% · 26% · 53%
Jun 25, 2026Japan 1–1 SwedenMatchday 3 54% · 23% · 23%
Jun 20, 2026Tunisia 0–4 JapanMatchday 2 80% · 13% · 7%
Jun 14, 2026Netherlands 2–2 JapanMatchday 1 29% · 24% · 47%
Dec 5, 2022Japan 1–1 Croatia (pens)Round of 16 41% · 34% · 25%
Dec 1, 2022Japan 2–1 SpainMatchday 3 43% · 28% · 28%
Nov 27, 2022Japan 0–1 Costa RicaMatchday 2 45% · 44% · 10%
Nov 23, 2022Germany 1–2 JapanMatchday 1 10% · 13% · 77% · a steal
Jul 2, 2018Belgium 3–2 JapanRound of 16 9% · 14% · 77%
Jun 28, 2018Japan 0–1 PolandMatchday 3 28% · 29% · 44%
Jun 24, 2018Japan 2–2 SenegalMatchday 2 16% · 22% · 63%
Jun 19, 2018Colombia 1–2 JapanMatchday 1 76% · 15% · 9%

Japan and luck

Was Japan lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Japan took 5 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 5.5, so −0.5 points of luck.

What was Japan’s luckiest season?

2022: 6 points from play worth 3.8 (+2.2). Their unluckiest was 2026: 5 points from 5.5 (−0.5).