luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Germany: how lucky, season by season

Germany in the World Cup 2026: 6 points from goals worth 5.4 (+0.6 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202636115.414+0.6
202234156.93−2.9
201833225.48−2.4

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jun 29, 2026Germany 1–1 Paraguay (pens)Round of 32 47% · 25% · 28%
Jun 25, 2026Ecuador 2–1 GermanyMatchday 3 51% · 25% · 24%
Jun 20, 2026Germany 2–1 Ivory CoastMatchday 2 42% · 23% · 35%
Jun 14, 2026Germany 7–1 CuraçaoMatchday 1 66% · 16% · 17%
Dec 1, 2022Costa Rica 2–4 GermanyMatchday 3 93% · 5% · 3%
Nov 27, 2022Spain 1–1 GermanyMatchday 2 42% · 32% · 26%
Nov 23, 2022Germany 1–2 JapanMatchday 1 77% · 13% · 10%
Jun 27, 2018South Korea 2–0 GermanyMatchday 3 52% · 17% · 30%
Jun 23, 2018Germany 2–1 SwedenMatchday 2 46% · 28% · 26%
Jun 17, 2018Germany 0–1 MexicoMatchday 1 58% · 21% · 20%

Germany and luck

Was Germany lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Germany took 6 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 5.4, so +0.6 points of luck.

What was Germany’s luckiest season?

2026: 6 points from goals worth 5.4 (+0.6). Their unluckiest was 2022: 4 points from 6.9 (−2.9).