luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Ecuador: how lucky, season by season

Ecuador in the World Cup 2026: 4 points from goals worth 3.8 (+0.2 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202634253.828+0.2
202234165.46−1.4

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jun 30, 2026Mexico 2–0 EcuadorRound of 32 3% · 26% · 71%
Jun 25, 2026Ecuador 2–1 GermanyMatchday 3 24% · 25% · 51% · a steal
Jun 20, 2026Ecuador 0–0 CuraçaoMatchday 2 57% · 29% · 14%
Jun 14, 2026Ivory Coast 1–0 EcuadorMatchday 1 8% · 52% · 39%
Nov 29, 2022Ecuador 1–2 SenegalMatchday 3 18% · 22% · 60%
Nov 25, 2022Netherlands 1–1 EcuadorMatchday 2 73% · 24% · 3%
Nov 20, 2022Qatar 0–2 EcuadorMatchday 1 66% · 27% · 7%

Ecuador and luck

Was Ecuador lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Ecuador took 4 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 3.8, so +0.2 points of luck.

What was Ecuador’s luckiest season?

2026: 4 points from goals worth 3.8 (+0.2). Their unluckiest was 2022: 4 points from 5.4 (−1.4).