luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Belgium: how lucky, season by season

Belgium in the World Cup 2026: 5 points from goals worth 6.1 (−1.1 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202635186.19−1.1
202234233.918+0.1
20183916.44+2.6

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 10, 2026Spain 2–1 BelgiumQuarter-finals 17% · 30% · 53%
Jul 6, 2026United States 1–4 BelgiumRound of 16 50% · 21% · 29%
Jul 1, 2026Belgium 3–2 Senegal (AET)Round of 32 53% · 21% · 26%
Jun 26, 2026New Zealand 1–5 BelgiumMatchday 3 73% · 15% · 12%
Jun 21, 2026Belgium 0–0 IranMatchday 2 57% · 30% · 13%
Jun 15, 2026Belgium 1–1 EgyptMatchday 1 50% · 24% · 26%
Dec 1, 2022Croatia 0–0 BelgiumMatchday 3 75% · 16% · 9%
Nov 27, 2022Belgium 0–2 MoroccoMatchday 2 23% · 31% · 46%
Nov 23, 2022Belgium 1–0 CanadaMatchday 1 10% · 16% · 73% · a steal
Jul 14, 2018Belgium 2–0 EnglandThird-place play-off 47% · 26% · 27%
Jul 10, 2018France 1–0 BelgiumSemi-finals 10% · 21% · 69%
Jul 6, 2018Brazil 1–2 BelgiumQuarter-finals 8% · 17% · 75% · a steal
Jul 2, 2018Belgium 3–2 JapanRound of 16 77% · 14% · 9%
Jun 28, 2018England 0–1 BelgiumMatchday 3 35% · 31% · 34%
Jun 23, 2018Belgium 5–2 TunisiaMatchday 2 99% · 1% · 0%
Jun 18, 2018Belgium 3–0 PanamaMatchday 1 61% · 25% · 14%

Belgium and luck

Was Belgium lucky at the World Cup 2026?

No, unlucky: Belgium took 5 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 6.1, so −1.1 points of luck.

What was Belgium’s luckiest season?

2018: 9 points from play worth 6.4 (+2.6). Their unluckiest was 2026: 5 points from 6.1 (−1.1).