luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Australia: how lucky, season by season

Australia in the World Cup 2026: 4 points from goals worth 4.2 (−0.2 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202634244.221−0.2
202236112.128+3.9
201831284.312−3.3

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 3, 2026Australia 1–1 Egypt (pens)Round of 32 24% · 32% · 44%
Jun 25, 2026Paraguay 0–0 AustraliaMatchday 3 25% · 66% · 9%
Jun 19, 2026United States 2–0 AustraliaMatchday 2 28% · 26% · 46%
Jun 13, 2026Australia 2–0 TurkeyMatchday 1 46% · 33% · 21%
Dec 3, 2022Argentina 2–1 AustraliaRound of 16 7% · 20% · 73%
Nov 30, 2022Australia 1–0 DenmarkMatchday 3 23% · 41% · 36%
Nov 26, 2022Tunisia 0–1 AustraliaMatchday 2 19% · 39% · 43% · a steal
Nov 22, 2022France 4–1 AustraliaMatchday 1 1% · 5% · 94%
Jun 26, 2018Australia 0–2 PeruMatchday 3 58% · 30% · 12%
Jun 21, 2018Denmark 1–1 AustraliaMatchday 2 39% · 28% · 33%
Jun 16, 2018France 2–1 AustraliaMatchday 1 18% · 25% · 56%

Australia and luck

Was Australia lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Australia took 4 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 4.2, so −0.2 points of luck.

What was Australia’s luckiest season?

2022: 6 points from play worth 2.1 (+3.9). Their unluckiest was 2018: 1 points from 4.3 (−3.3).