luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Portugal: how lucky, season by season

Portugal in the World Cup 2026: 5 points from goals worth 5.4 (−0.4 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
202635165.413−0.4
20223665.19+0.9
201835124.214+0.8

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 6, 2026Portugal 0–1 SpainRound of 16 6% · 33% · 62%
Jul 2, 2026Portugal 2–1 CroatiaRound of 32 52% · 24% · 24%
Jun 27, 2026Colombia 0–0 PortugalMatchday 3 27% · 46% · 27%
Jun 23, 2026Portugal 5–0 UzbekistanMatchday 2 77% · 14% · 9%
Jun 17, 2026Portugal 1–1 DR CongoMatchday 1 46% · 33% · 21%
Dec 10, 2022Morocco 1–0 PortugalQuarter-finals 21% · 32% · 47%
Dec 6, 2022Portugal 6–1 SwitzerlandRound of 16 83% · 10% · 7%
Dec 2, 2022South Korea 2–1 PortugalMatchday 3 29% · 28% · 43%
Nov 28, 2022Portugal 2–0 UruguayMatchday 2 46% · 26% · 28%
Nov 24, 2022Portugal 3–2 GhanaMatchday 1 72% · 18% · 10%
Jun 30, 2018Uruguay 2–1 PortugalRound of 16 41% · 36% · 23%
Jun 25, 2018Iran 1–1 PortugalMatchday 3 46% · 22% · 31%
Jun 20, 2018Portugal 1–0 MoroccoMatchday 2 33% · 28% · 39%
Jun 15, 2018Portugal 3–3 SpainMatchday 1 35% · 24% · 41%

Portugal and luck

Was Portugal lucky at the World Cup 2026?

About as lucky as the average team: Portugal took 5 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 5.4, so −0.4 points of luck.

What was Portugal’s luckiest season?

2022: 6 points from play worth 5.1 (+0.9). Their unluckiest was 2026: 5 points from 5.4 (−0.4).