luckadjusted
World Cup Final · 2026

World Cup

Mexico: how lucky, season by season

Mexico in the World Cup 2026: 9 points from goals worth 7.3 (+1.7 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
20263937.32+1.7
202234224.413−0.4
201836103.620+2.4

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Jul 5, 2026Mexico 2–3 EnglandRound of 16 34% · 22% · 44%
Jun 30, 2026Mexico 2–0 EcuadorRound of 32 71% · 26% · 3%
Jun 24, 2026Czech Republic 0–3 MexicoMatchday 3 79% · 15% · 7%
Jun 18, 2026Mexico 1–0 South KoreaMatchday 2 70% · 22% · 8%
Jun 11, 2026Mexico 2–0 South AfricaMatchday 1 74% · 22% · 4%
Nov 30, 2022Saudi Arabia 1–2 MexicoMatchday 3 76% · 14% · 9%
Nov 26, 2022Argentina 2–0 MexicoMatchday 2 16% · 57% · 26%
Nov 22, 2022Mexico 0–0 PolandMatchday 1 19% · 31% · 49%
Jul 2, 2018Brazil 2–0 MexicoRound of 16 3% · 6% · 92%
Jun 27, 2018Mexico 0–3 SwedenMatchday 3 13% · 15% · 73%
Jun 23, 2018South Korea 1–2 MexicoMatchday 2 69% · 18% · 12%
Jun 17, 2018Germany 0–1 MexicoMatchday 1 20% · 21% · 58% · a steal

Mexico and luck

Was Mexico lucky at the World Cup 2026?

Yes: Mexico took 9 points from 3 matches, where their goals were worth 7.3, so +1.7 points of luck.

What was Mexico’s luckiest season?

2018: 6 points from play worth 3.6 (+2.4). Their unluckiest was 2022: 4 points from 4.4 (−0.4).