Premier League predictions, matchday 12

Arsenal by 0.2 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 8%

Goals expected

Arsenal 1.6 Man City 1.4

Even: Forest and Chelsea are level on form, home advantage included.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%2–1 8%1–2 8%

Goals expected

Forest 1.5 Chelsea 1.4

Brighton by 0.7 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 11%2–1 10%1–0 8%

Goals expected

Brighton 2.0 Newcastle 1.2

Sunderland by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 9%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Sunderland 1.5 Tottenham 1.2

Crystal Palace by 0.5 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 11%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Crystal Palace 1.6 Hull 1.1

Leeds by 1.0 goal on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–0 12%1–1 12%2–0 11%

Goals expected

Leeds 1.8 Coventry 0.9

Man United by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 8%

Goals expected

Man United 1.7 Brentford 1.4

Aston Villa by 0.4 goals on average, even with Ipswich at home.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%1–2 9%0–1 8%

Goals expected

Ipswich 1.3 Aston Villa 1.7

Even: Fulham and Bournemouth are level on form, home advantage included.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 9%2–1 8%

Goals expected

Fulham 1.4 Bournemouth 1.4

Liverpool by 0.1 goals on average, even with Everton at home.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%0–1 10%1–0 9%

Goals expected

Everton 1.2 Liverpool 1.4