Premier League predictions, matchday 13

Liverpool by 1.2 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

2–0 12%1–0 11%1–1 10%

Goals expected

Liverpool 2.0 Sunderland 0.8

Man City by 1.5 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

2–0 13%1–0 11%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Man City 2.2 Leeds 0.7

Even: Hull and Forest are level on form, home advantage included.

Likeliest scores

1–1 14%0–1 10%1–0 10%

Goals expected

Hull 1.3 Forest 1.3

Aston Villa by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 11%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Aston Villa 1.4 Everton 1.1

Newcastle by 0.2 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 11%2–1 9%1–2 8%

Goals expected

Newcastle 1.7 Man United 1.5

Even: Bournemouth and Brighton are level on form, home advantage included.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%1–2 8%2–1 8%

Goals expected

Bournemouth 1.5 Brighton 1.6

Chelsea by 0.8 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 11%2–1 10%1–0 9%

Goals expected

Chelsea 1.9 Crystal Palace 1.1

Coventry by 0.3 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 12%2–1 9%1–0 8%

Goals expected

Coventry 1.6 Ipswich 1.3

Arsenal by 0.3 goals on average, even with Brentford at home.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%0–1 9%1–2 9%

Goals expected

Brentford 1.2 Arsenal 1.5

Tottenham by 0.2 goals on average, with home advantage.

Likeliest scores

1–1 13%1–0 9%2–1 9%

Goals expected

Tottenham 1.4 Fulham 1.3