luckadjusted
Premier League Matchday 5 · 2026-27

Premier League

Chelsea: how lucky, season by season

Chelsea in the Premier League 2026-27: 7 points from goals worth 5.9 (+1.1 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
2026-2757105.912+1.1
2025-2638521055.38−3.3
2015-1638501056.97−6.9

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Sep 18, 2026Brentford 3–0 ChelseaMatchday 5 24% · 20% · 57%
Sep 12, 2026Chelsea 2–2 HullMatchday 4 39% · 25% · 36%
Sep 6, 2026Arsenal 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 3 25% · 22% · 53%
Aug 30, 2026Chelsea 4–3 BrightonMatchday 2 24% · 17% · 59% · a steal
Aug 24, 2026Fulham 2–3 ChelseaMatchday 1 51% · 22% · 27%
May 24, 2026Sunderland 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 38 34% · 29% · 38%
May 19, 2026Chelsea 2–1 TottenhamMatchday 37 51% · 25% · 24%
May 9, 2026Liverpool 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 36 29% · 25% · 47%
May 4, 2026Chelsea 1–3 ForestMatchday 35 49% · 26% · 25%
Apr 21, 2026Brighton 3–0 ChelseaMatchday 34 29% · 27% · 44%
Apr 18, 2026Chelsea 0–1 Man UnitedMatchday 33 37% · 25% · 38%
Apr 12, 2026Chelsea 0–3 Man CityMatchday 32 26% · 25% · 49%
Mar 21, 2026Everton 3–0 ChelseaMatchday 31 34% · 28% · 39%
Mar 14, 2026Chelsea 0–1 NewcastleMatchday 30 47% · 25% · 27%
Mar 4, 2026Aston Villa 1–4 ChelseaMatchday 29 30% · 26% · 44%
Mar 1, 2026Arsenal 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 28 14% · 22% · 64%
Feb 21, 2026Chelsea 1–1 BurnleyMatchday 27 66% · 20% · 14%
Feb 10, 2026Chelsea 2–2 LeedsMatchday 26 48% · 26% · 26%
Feb 7, 2026Wolves 1–3 ChelseaMatchday 25 54% · 26% · 20%
Jan 31, 2026Chelsea 3–2 West HamMatchday 24 57% · 23% · 20%
Jan 25, 2026Crystal Palace 1–3 ChelseaMatchday 23 37% · 29% · 34%
Jan 17, 2026Chelsea 2–0 BrentfordMatchday 22 45% · 26% · 30%
Jan 7, 2026Fulham 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 21 34% · 28% · 38%
Jan 4, 2026Man City 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 20 16% · 21% · 63%
Dec 30, 2025Chelsea 2–2 BournemouthMatchday 19 44% · 25% · 31%
Dec 27, 2025Chelsea 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 18 43% · 26% · 31%
Dec 20, 2025Newcastle 2–2 ChelseaMatchday 17 34% · 26% · 40%
Dec 13, 2025Chelsea 2–0 EvertonMatchday 16 48% · 27% · 26%
Dec 6, 2025Bournemouth 0–0 ChelseaMatchday 15 31% · 25% · 44%
Dec 3, 2025Leeds 3–1 ChelseaMatchday 14 35% · 27% · 39%
Nov 30, 2025Chelsea 1–1 ArsenalMatchday 13 24% · 26% · 50%
Nov 22, 2025Burnley 0–2 ChelseaMatchday 12 52% · 24% · 24%
Nov 8, 2025Chelsea 3–0 WolvesMatchday 11 68% · 21% · 10%
Nov 1, 2025Tottenham 0–1 ChelseaMatchday 10 38% · 27% · 36%
Oct 25, 2025Chelsea 1–2 SunderlandMatchday 9 48% · 28% · 24%
Oct 18, 2025Forest 0–3 ChelseaMatchday 8 35% · 27% · 38%
Oct 4, 2025Chelsea 2–1 LiverpoolMatchday 7 41% · 25% · 34%
Sep 27, 2025Chelsea 1–3 BrightonMatchday 6 43% · 27% · 30%
Sep 20, 2025Man United 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 5 25% · 24% · 51%
Sep 13, 2025Brentford 2–2 ChelseaMatchday 4 32% · 26% · 42%
Aug 30, 2025Chelsea 2–0 FulhamMatchday 3 48% · 27% · 25%
Aug 22, 2025West Ham 1–5 ChelseaMatchday 2 43% · 25% · 31%
Aug 17, 2025Chelsea 0–0 Crystal PalaceMatchday 1 52% · 27% · 22%
May 15, 2016Chelsea 1–1 LeicesterMatchday 38 43% · 23% · 34%
May 11, 2016Liverpool 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 30 15% · 19% · 66%
May 7, 2016Sunderland 3–2 ChelseaMatchday 37 46% · 28% · 26%
May 2, 2016Chelsea 2–2 TottenhamMatchday 36 7% · 13% · 79%
Apr 23, 2016Bournemouth 1–4 ChelseaMatchday 35 62% · 25% · 14%
Apr 16, 2016Chelsea 0–3 Man CityMatchday 34 8% · 11% · 81%
Apr 9, 2016Swansea 1–0 ChelseaMatchday 33 25% · 20% · 55%
Apr 2, 2016Aston Villa 0–4 ChelseaMatchday 32 79% · 13% · 8%
Mar 19, 2016Chelsea 2–2 West HamMatchday 31 62% · 21% · 17%
Mar 5, 2016Chelsea 1–1 StokeMatchday 29 40% · 24% · 36%
Mar 1, 2016Norwich 1–2 ChelseaMatchday 28 47% · 29% · 25%
Feb 27, 2016Southampton 1–2 ChelseaMatchday 27 41% · 26% · 33%
Feb 13, 2016Chelsea 5–1 NewcastleMatchday 26 90% · 7% · 3%
Feb 7, 2016Chelsea 1–1 Man UnitedMatchday 25 58% · 22% · 20%
Feb 3, 2016Watford 0–0 ChelseaMatchday 24 36% · 31% · 33%
Jan 24, 2016Arsenal 0–1 ChelseaMatchday 23 43% · 27% · 30%
Jan 16, 2016Chelsea 3–3 EvertonMatchday 22 46% · 22% · 33%
Jan 13, 2016Chelsea 2–2 West BromMatchday 21 52% · 26% · 22%
Jan 3, 2016Crystal Palace 0–3 ChelseaMatchday 20 70% · 18% · 12%
Dec 28, 2015Man United 0–0 ChelseaMatchday 19 28% · 27% · 45%
Dec 26, 2015Chelsea 2–2 WatfordMatchday 18 54% · 20% · 27%
Dec 19, 2015Chelsea 3–1 SunderlandMatchday 17 90% · 6% · 4%
Dec 14, 2015Leicester 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 16 54% · 27% · 19%
Dec 5, 2015Chelsea 0–1 BournemouthMatchday 15 28% · 23% · 49%
Nov 29, 2015Tottenham 0–0 ChelseaMatchday 14 16% · 50% · 34%
Nov 21, 2015Chelsea 1–0 NorwichMatchday 13 76% · 19% · 5%
Nov 7, 2015Stoke 1–0 ChelseaMatchday 12 32% · 35% · 33%
Oct 31, 2015Chelsea 1–3 LiverpoolMatchday 11 17% · 37% · 46%
Oct 24, 2015West Ham 2–1 ChelseaMatchday 10 28% · 33% · 39%
Oct 17, 2015Chelsea 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 9 53% · 31% · 16%
Oct 3, 2015Chelsea 1–3 SouthamptonMatchday 8 8% · 21% · 71%
Sep 26, 2015Newcastle 2–2 ChelseaMatchday 7 43% · 29% · 29%
Sep 19, 2015Chelsea 2–0 ArsenalMatchday 6 67% · 21% · 12%
Sep 12, 2015Everton 3–1 ChelseaMatchday 5 18% · 28% · 54%
Aug 29, 2015Chelsea 1–2 Crystal PalaceMatchday 4 37% · 19% · 44%
Aug 23, 2015West Brom 2–3 ChelseaMatchday 3 66% · 15% · 19%
Aug 16, 2015Man City 3–0 ChelseaMatchday 2 12% · 19% · 69%
Aug 8, 2015Chelsea 2–2 SwanseaMatchday 1 8% · 17% · 75%

Chelsea and luck

Is Chelsea lucky in the Premier League 2026-27?

Yes so far: Chelsea have 7 points from 5 matches, where their goals are worth 5.9, so +1.1 points of luck.

What was Chelsea’s luckiest season?

2026-27: 7 points from goals worth 5.9 (+1.1). Their unluckiest was 2015-16: 50 points from 56.9 (−6.9).