luckadjusted
Premier League Matchday 5 · 2026-27

Premier League

Manchester City: how lucky, season by season

Manchester City in the Premier League 2026-27: 15 points from goals worth 11.0 (+4.0 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
2026-27515111.01+4.0
2025-263878276.62+1.4
2015-163866468.13−2.1

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Sep 20, 2026Man City 5–3 SunderlandMatchday 5 71% · 17% · 12%
Sep 13, 2026Man United 0–1 Man CityMatchday 4 55% · 21% · 24%
Sep 5, 2026Man City 1–0 CoventryMatchday 3 77% · 16% · 6%
Aug 28, 2026Crystal Palace 1–4 Man CityMatchday 2 69% · 17% · 14%
Aug 23, 2026Man City 2–1 BournemouthMatchday 1 62% · 21% · 17%
May 24, 2026Man City 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 38 62% · 22% · 16%
May 19, 2026Bournemouth 1–1 Man CityMatchday 37 49% · 24% · 26%
May 13, 2026Man City 3–0 Crystal PalaceMatchday 31 72% · 20% · 8%
May 9, 2026Man City 3–0 BrentfordMatchday 36 64% · 21% · 15%
May 4, 2026Everton 3–3 Man CityMatchday 35 54% · 25% · 21%
Apr 22, 2026Burnley 0–1 Man CityMatchday 34 71% · 18% · 11%
Apr 19, 2026Man City 2–1 ArsenalMatchday 33 43% · 27% · 30%
Apr 12, 2026Chelsea 0–3 Man CityMatchday 32 49% · 25% · 26%
Mar 14, 2026West Ham 1–1 Man CityMatchday 30 62% · 22% · 16%
Mar 4, 2026Man City 2–2 ForestMatchday 29 69% · 20% · 11%
Feb 28, 2026Leeds 0–1 Man CityMatchday 28 54% · 24% · 22%
Feb 21, 2026Man City 2–1 NewcastleMatchday 27 66% · 20% · 13%
Feb 11, 2026Man City 3–0 FulhamMatchday 26 68% · 21% · 11%
Feb 8, 2026Liverpool 1–2 Man CityMatchday 25 47% · 24% · 29%
Feb 1, 2026Tottenham 2–2 Man CityMatchday 24 57% · 24% · 20%
Jan 24, 2026Man City 2–0 WolvesMatchday 23 86% · 12% · 2%
Jan 17, 2026Man United 2–0 Man CityMatchday 22 42% · 24% · 33%
Jan 7, 2026Man City 1–1 BrightonMatchday 21 63% · 23% · 15%
Jan 4, 2026Man City 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 20 63% · 21% · 16%
Jan 1, 2026Sunderland 0–0 Man CityMatchday 19 54% · 26% · 20%
Dec 27, 2025Forest 1–2 Man CityMatchday 18 55% · 25% · 20%
Dec 20, 2025Man City 3–0 West HamMatchday 17 75% · 17% · 9%
Dec 14, 2025Crystal Palace 0–3 Man CityMatchday 16 58% · 25% · 17%
Dec 6, 2025Man City 3–0 SunderlandMatchday 15 69% · 21% · 10%
Dec 2, 2025Fulham 4–5 Man CityMatchday 14 54% · 25% · 21%
Nov 29, 2025Man City 3–2 LeedsMatchday 13 68% · 20% · 12%
Nov 22, 2025Newcastle 2–1 Man CityMatchday 12 53% · 24% · 23%
Nov 9, 2025Man City 3–0 LiverpoolMatchday 11 60% · 22% · 18%
Nov 2, 2025Man City 3–1 BournemouthMatchday 10 63% · 21% · 16%
Oct 26, 2025Aston Villa 1–0 Man CityMatchday 9 49% · 25% · 26%
Oct 18, 2025Man City 2–0 EvertonMatchday 8 68% · 21% · 11%
Oct 5, 2025Brentford 0–1 Man CityMatchday 7 50% · 25% · 25%
Sep 27, 2025Man City 5–1 BurnleyMatchday 6 82% · 13% · 5%
Sep 21, 2025Arsenal 1–1 Man CityMatchday 5 29% · 27% · 44%
Sep 14, 2025Man City 3–0 Man UnitedMatchday 4 55% · 23% · 22%
Aug 31, 2025Brighton 2–1 Man CityMatchday 3 48% · 26% · 25%
Aug 23, 2025Man City 0–2 TottenhamMatchday 2 70% · 19% · 11%
Aug 16, 2025Wolves 0–4 Man CityMatchday 1 74% · 19% · 8%
May 15, 2016Swansea 1–1 Man CityMatchday 38 89% · 9% · 2%
May 8, 2016Man City 2–2 ArsenalMatchday 37 32% · 36% · 31%
May 1, 2016Southampton 4–2 Man CityMatchday 36 3% · 6% · 91%
Apr 23, 2016Man City 4–0 StokeMatchday 35 90% · 6% · 4%
Apr 19, 2016Newcastle 1–1 Man CityMatchday 27 34% · 39% · 27%
Apr 16, 2016Chelsea 0–3 Man CityMatchday 34 81% · 11% · 8%
Apr 9, 2016Man City 2–1 West BromMatchday 33 58% · 21% · 21%
Apr 2, 2016Bournemouth 0–4 Man CityMatchday 32 43% · 30% · 27%
Mar 20, 2016Man City 0–1 Man UnitedMatchday 31 62% · 24% · 14%
Mar 12, 2016Norwich 0–0 Man CityMatchday 30 48% · 41% · 11%
Mar 5, 2016Man City 4–0 Aston VillaMatchday 29 95% · 4% · 1%
Mar 2, 2016Liverpool 3–0 Man CityMatchday 28 5% · 22% · 74%
Feb 14, 2016Man City 1–2 TottenhamMatchday 26 50% · 23% · 28%
Feb 6, 2016Man City 1–3 LeicesterMatchday 25 13% · 19% · 68%
Feb 2, 2016Sunderland 0–1 Man CityMatchday 24 23% · 34% · 44% · a steal
Jan 23, 2016West Ham 2–2 Man CityMatchday 23 52% · 24% · 23%
Jan 16, 2016Man City 4–0 Crystal PalaceMatchday 22 78% · 13% · 9%
Jan 13, 2016Man City 0–0 EvertonMatchday 21 62% · 27% · 10%
Jan 2, 2016Watford 1–2 Man CityMatchday 20 29% · 29% · 42%
Dec 29, 2015Leicester 0–0 Man CityMatchday 19 56% · 24% · 20%
Dec 26, 2015Man City 4–1 SunderlandMatchday 18 89% · 7% · 4%
Dec 21, 2015Arsenal 2–1 Man CityMatchday 17 21% · 22% · 57%
Dec 12, 2015Man City 2–1 SwanseaMatchday 16 29% · 30% · 41%
Dec 5, 2015Stoke 2–0 Man CityMatchday 15 6% · 18% · 76%
Nov 28, 2015Man City 3–1 SouthamptonMatchday 14 61% · 22% · 17%
Nov 21, 2015Man City 1–4 LiverpoolMatchday 13 2% · 3% · 95%
Nov 8, 2015Aston Villa 0–0 Man CityMatchday 12 79% · 17% · 4%
Oct 31, 2015Man City 2–1 NorwichMatchday 11 80% · 10% · 10%
Oct 25, 2015Man United 0–0 Man CityMatchday 10 24% · 50% · 26%
Oct 17, 2015Man City 5–1 BournemouthMatchday 9 96% · 3% · 1%
Oct 3, 2015Man City 6–1 NewcastleMatchday 8 85% · 8% · 7%
Sep 26, 2015Tottenham 4–1 Man CityMatchday 7 17% · 19% · 64%
Sep 19, 2015Man City 1–2 West HamMatchday 6 61% · 21% · 18%
Sep 12, 2015Crystal Palace 0–1 Man CityMatchday 5 92% · 6% · 3%
Aug 29, 2015Man City 2–0 WatfordMatchday 4 65% · 26% · 9%
Aug 23, 2015Everton 0–2 Man CityMatchday 3 57% · 29% · 14%
Aug 16, 2015Man City 3–0 ChelseaMatchday 2 69% · 19% · 12%
Aug 10, 2015West Brom 0–3 Man CityMatchday 1 82% · 13% · 5%

Man City and luck

Is Man City lucky in the Premier League 2026-27?

Yes so far: Man City have 15 points from 5 matches, where their goals are worth 11.0, so +4.0 points of luck.

What was Man City’s luckiest season?

2026-27: 15 points from goals worth 11.0 (+4.0). Their unluckiest was 2015-16: 66 points from 68.1 (−2.1).