luckadjusted
Premier League Matchday 5 · 2026-27

Premier League

Liverpool: how lucky, season by season

Liverpool in the Premier League 2026-27: 9 points from goals worth 8.8 (+0.2 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
2026-275968.87+0.2
2025-263860558.44+1.6
2015-163860865.55−5.5

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Sep 20, 2026Bournemouth 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 5 36% · 31% · 33%
Sep 12, 2026Liverpool 0–0 FulhamMatchday 4 63% · 31% · 6%
Sep 4, 2026Ipswich 0–2 LiverpoolMatchday 3 56% · 24% · 19%
Aug 29, 2026Liverpool 2–2 ForestMatchday 2 54% · 32% · 14%
Aug 23, 2026Newcastle 2–2 LiverpoolMatchday 1 39% · 24% · 37%
May 24, 2026Liverpool 1–1 BrentfordMatchday 38 48% · 25% · 28%
May 15, 2026Aston Villa 4–2 LiverpoolMatchday 37 33% · 26% · 42%
May 9, 2026Liverpool 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 36 47% · 25% · 29%
May 3, 2026Man United 3–2 LiverpoolMatchday 35 28% · 23% · 49%
Apr 25, 2026Liverpool 3–1 Crystal PalaceMatchday 34 55% · 25% · 20%
Apr 19, 2026Everton 1–2 LiverpoolMatchday 33 37% · 27% · 36%
Apr 11, 2026Liverpool 2–0 FulhamMatchday 32 51% · 25% · 24%
Mar 21, 2026Brighton 2–1 LiverpoolMatchday 31 32% · 27% · 41%
Mar 15, 2026Liverpool 1–1 TottenhamMatchday 30 54% · 24% · 22%
Mar 3, 2026Wolves 2–1 LiverpoolMatchday 29 57% · 24% · 19%
Feb 28, 2026Liverpool 5–2 West HamMatchday 28 59% · 22% · 19%
Feb 22, 2026Forest 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 27 38% · 27% · 35%
Feb 11, 2026Sunderland 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 26 37% · 28% · 35%
Feb 8, 2026Liverpool 1–2 Man CityMatchday 25 29% · 24% · 47%
Jan 31, 2026Liverpool 4–1 NewcastleMatchday 24 50% · 24% · 26%
Jan 24, 2026Bournemouth 3–2 LiverpoolMatchday 23 34% · 25% · 41%
Jan 17, 2026Liverpool 1–1 BurnleyMatchday 22 68% · 19% · 13%
Jan 8, 2026Arsenal 0–0 LiverpoolMatchday 21 16% · 23% · 61%
Jan 4, 2026Fulham 2–2 LiverpoolMatchday 20 38% · 27% · 36%
Jan 1, 2026Liverpool 0–0 LeedsMatchday 19 51% · 24% · 24%
Dec 27, 2025Liverpool 2–1 WolvesMatchday 18 71% · 20% · 10%
Dec 20, 2025Tottenham 1–2 LiverpoolMatchday 17 41% · 26% · 34%
Dec 13, 2025Liverpool 2–0 BrightonMatchday 16 46% · 26% · 28%
Dec 6, 2025Leeds 3–3 LiverpoolMatchday 15 38% · 26% · 36%
Dec 3, 2025Liverpool 1–1 SunderlandMatchday 14 51% · 26% · 23%
Nov 30, 2025West Ham 0–2 LiverpoolMatchday 13 46% · 25% · 29%
Nov 22, 2025Liverpool 0–3 ForestMatchday 12 52% · 25% · 23%
Nov 9, 2025Man City 3–0 LiverpoolMatchday 11 18% · 22% · 60%
Nov 1, 2025Liverpool 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 10 46% · 25% · 29%
Oct 25, 2025Brentford 3–2 LiverpoolMatchday 9 35% · 25% · 40%
Oct 19, 2025Liverpool 1–2 Man UnitedMatchday 8 40% · 24% · 36%
Oct 4, 2025Chelsea 2–1 LiverpoolMatchday 7 34% · 25% · 41%
Sep 27, 2025Crystal Palace 2–1 LiverpoolMatchday 6 40% · 27% · 32%
Sep 20, 2025Liverpool 2–1 EvertonMatchday 5 51% · 25% · 24%
Sep 14, 2025Burnley 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 4 55% · 23% · 22%
Aug 31, 2025Liverpool 1–0 ArsenalMatchday 3 27% · 26% · 47%
Aug 25, 2025Newcastle 2–3 LiverpoolMatchday 2 37% · 25% · 38%
Aug 15, 2025Liverpool 4–2 BournemouthMatchday 1 47% · 24% · 29%
May 15, 2016West Brom 1–1 LiverpoolMatchday 38 10% · 24% · 66%
May 11, 2016Liverpool 1–1 ChelseaMatchday 30 66% · 19% · 15%
May 8, 2016Liverpool 2–0 WatfordMatchday 37 87% · 8% · 4%
May 1, 2016Swansea 3–1 LiverpoolMatchday 36 9% · 17% · 73%
Apr 23, 2016Liverpool 2–2 NewcastleMatchday 35 48% · 39% · 14%
Apr 20, 2016Liverpool 4–0 EvertonMatchday 27 98% · 2% · 0%
Apr 17, 2016Bournemouth 1–2 LiverpoolMatchday 34 56% · 22% · 22%
Apr 10, 2016Liverpool 4–1 StokeMatchday 33 81% · 13% · 6%
Apr 2, 2016Liverpool 1–1 TottenhamMatchday 32 32% · 24% · 44%
Mar 20, 2016Southampton 3–2 LiverpoolMatchday 31 51% · 21% · 28%
Mar 6, 2016Crystal Palace 1–2 LiverpoolMatchday 29 49% · 23% · 27%
Mar 2, 2016Liverpool 3–0 Man CityMatchday 28 74% · 22% · 5%
Feb 14, 2016Aston Villa 0–6 LiverpoolMatchday 26 96% · 3% · 1%
Feb 6, 2016Liverpool 2–2 SunderlandMatchday 25 75% · 18% · 8%
Feb 2, 2016Leicester 2–0 LiverpoolMatchday 24 13% · 28% · 59%
Jan 23, 2016Norwich 4–5 LiverpoolMatchday 23 40% · 25% · 35%
Jan 17, 2016Liverpool 0–1 Man UnitedMatchday 22 58% · 28% · 14%
Jan 13, 2016Liverpool 3–3 ArsenalMatchday 21 26% · 23% · 51%
Jan 2, 2016West Ham 2–0 LiverpoolMatchday 20 16% · 16% · 68%
Dec 30, 2015Sunderland 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 19 74% · 18% · 8%
Dec 26, 2015Liverpool 1–0 LeicesterMatchday 18 66% · 21% · 14%
Dec 20, 2015Watford 3–0 LiverpoolMatchday 17 6% · 14% · 80%
Dec 13, 2015Liverpool 2–2 West BromMatchday 16 77% · 16% · 7%
Dec 6, 2015Newcastle 2–0 LiverpoolMatchday 15 36% · 30% · 34%
Nov 29, 2015Liverpool 1–0 SwanseaMatchday 14 65% · 24% · 11%
Nov 21, 2015Man City 1–4 LiverpoolMatchday 13 95% · 3% · 2%
Nov 8, 2015Liverpool 1–2 Crystal PalaceMatchday 12 65% · 22% · 13%
Oct 31, 2015Chelsea 1–3 LiverpoolMatchday 11 46% · 37% · 17%
Oct 25, 2015Liverpool 1–1 SouthamptonMatchday 10 19% · 27% · 53%
Oct 17, 2015Tottenham 0–0 LiverpoolMatchday 9 20% · 34% · 45%
Oct 4, 2015Everton 1–1 LiverpoolMatchday 8 47% · 31% · 22%
Sep 26, 2015Liverpool 3–2 Aston VillaMatchday 7 71% · 18% · 12%
Sep 20, 2015Liverpool 1–1 NorwichMatchday 6 84% · 12% · 4%
Sep 12, 2015Man United 3–1 LiverpoolMatchday 5 9% · 21% · 70%
Aug 29, 2015Liverpool 0–3 West HamMatchday 4 27% · 33% · 40%
Aug 24, 2015Arsenal 0–0 LiverpoolMatchday 3 27% · 21% · 52%
Aug 17, 2015Liverpool 1–0 BournemouthMatchday 2 70% · 19% · 11%
Aug 9, 2015Stoke 0–1 LiverpoolMatchday 1 17% · 54% · 30%

Liverpool and luck

Is Liverpool lucky in the Premier League 2026-27?

About as lucky as the average team so far: Liverpool have 9 points from 5 matches, where their goals are worth 8.8, so +0.2 points of luck.

What was Liverpool’s luckiest season?

2025-26: 60 points from goals worth 58.4 (+1.6). Their unluckiest was 2015-16: 60 points from 65.5 (−5.5).