luckadjusted
Premier League Matchday 5 · 2026-27

Premier League

Aston Villa: how lucky, season by season

Aston Villa in the Premier League 2026-27: 4 points from goals worth 4.7 (−0.7 luck). Every match replayed.

SeasonPlPtsPlaceReplay ptsAdjusted placeLuck, pts
2026-2754164.717−0.7
2025-263865455.95+9.1
2015-1638172029.520−12.5

Every match

DateMatchRoundReplays: win · draw · loss
Sep 19, 2026Tottenham 2–3 Aston VillaMatchday 5 44% · 30% · 26%
Sep 12, 2026Aston Villa 1–2 ForestMatchday 4 37% · 29% · 35%
Sep 5, 2026Hull 0–0 Aston VillaMatchday 3 12% · 31% · 56%
Aug 31, 2026Aston Villa 0–1 ArsenalMatchday 2 12% · 27% · 61%
Aug 23, 2026Brighton 4–0 Aston VillaMatchday 1 10% · 14% · 77%
May 24, 2026Man City 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 38 16% · 22% · 62% · a steal
May 15, 2026Aston Villa 4–2 LiverpoolMatchday 37 42% · 26% · 33%
May 10, 2026Burnley 2–2 Aston VillaMatchday 36 53% · 24% · 23%
May 3, 2026Aston Villa 1–2 TottenhamMatchday 35 52% · 26% · 23%
Apr 25, 2026Fulham 1–0 Aston VillaMatchday 34 34% · 28% · 37%
Apr 19, 2026Aston Villa 4–3 SunderlandMatchday 33 49% · 28% · 23%
Apr 12, 2026Forest 1–1 Aston VillaMatchday 32 35% · 28% · 37%
Mar 22, 2026Aston Villa 2–0 West HamMatchday 31 57% · 24% · 19%
Mar 15, 2026Man United 3–1 Aston VillaMatchday 30 25% · 24% · 51%
Mar 4, 2026Aston Villa 1–4 ChelseaMatchday 29 44% · 26% · 30%
Feb 27, 2026Wolves 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 28 55% · 26% · 19%
Feb 21, 2026Aston Villa 1–1 LeedsMatchday 27 49% · 26% · 25%
Feb 11, 2026Aston Villa 1–0 BrightonMatchday 26 43% · 28% · 29%
Feb 7, 2026Bournemouth 1–1 Aston VillaMatchday 25 31% · 26% · 43%
Feb 1, 2026Aston Villa 0–1 BrentfordMatchday 24 45% · 26% · 29%
Jan 25, 2026Newcastle 0–2 Aston VillaMatchday 23 34% · 27% · 39%
Jan 18, 2026Aston Villa 0–1 EvertonMatchday 22 48% · 27% · 24%
Jan 7, 2026Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston VillaMatchday 21 37% · 29% · 33%
Jan 3, 2026Aston Villa 3–1 ForestMatchday 20 49% · 27% · 24%
Dec 30, 2025Arsenal 4–1 Aston VillaMatchday 19 13% · 23% · 64%
Dec 27, 2025Chelsea 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 18 31% · 26% · 43%
Dec 21, 2025Aston Villa 2–1 Man UnitedMatchday 17 37% · 25% · 38%
Dec 14, 2025West Ham 2–3 Aston VillaMatchday 16 44% · 26% · 30%
Dec 6, 2025Aston Villa 2–1 ArsenalMatchday 15 24% · 27% · 49% · a steal
Dec 3, 2025Brighton 3–4 Aston VillaMatchday 14 29% · 28% · 43%
Nov 30, 2025Aston Villa 1–0 WolvesMatchday 13 69% · 21% · 9%
Nov 23, 2025Leeds 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 12 35% · 27% · 38%
Nov 9, 2025Aston Villa 4–0 BournemouthMatchday 11 44% · 26% · 30%
Nov 1, 2025Liverpool 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 10 29% · 25% · 46%
Oct 26, 2025Aston Villa 1–0 Man CityMatchday 9 26% · 25% · 49% · a steal
Oct 19, 2025Tottenham 1–2 Aston VillaMatchday 8 38% · 27% · 35%
Oct 5, 2025Aston Villa 2–1 BurnleyMatchday 7 67% · 21% · 13%
Sep 28, 2025Aston Villa 3–1 FulhamMatchday 6 49% · 27% · 24%
Sep 21, 2025Sunderland 1–1 Aston VillaMatchday 5 34% · 30% · 36%
Sep 13, 2025Everton 0–0 Aston VillaMatchday 4 34% · 28% · 38%
Aug 31, 2025Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal PalaceMatchday 3 52% · 27% · 20%
Aug 23, 2025Brentford 1–0 Aston VillaMatchday 2 32% · 27% · 42%
Aug 16, 2025Aston Villa 0–0 NewcastleMatchday 1 48% · 26% · 26%
May 15, 2016Arsenal 4–0 Aston VillaMatchday 38 1% · 3% · 96%
May 7, 2016Aston Villa 0–0 NewcastleMatchday 37 2% · 36% · 62%
Apr 30, 2016Watford 3–2 Aston VillaMatchday 36 27% · 32% · 42%
Apr 23, 2016Aston Villa 2–4 SouthamptonMatchday 35 8% · 10% · 83%
Apr 16, 2016Man United 1–0 Aston VillaMatchday 34 8% · 24% · 68%
Apr 9, 2016Aston Villa 1–2 BournemouthMatchday 33 12% · 31% · 56%
Apr 2, 2016Aston Villa 0–4 ChelseaMatchday 32 8% · 13% · 79%
Mar 19, 2016Swansea 1–0 Aston VillaMatchday 31 45% · 32% · 23%
Mar 13, 2016Aston Villa 0–2 TottenhamMatchday 30 12% · 18% · 70%
Mar 5, 2016Man City 4–0 Aston VillaMatchday 29 1% · 4% · 95%
Mar 1, 2016Aston Villa 1–3 EvertonMatchday 28 5% · 11% · 84%
Feb 27, 2016Stoke 2–1 Aston VillaMatchday 27 1% · 6% · 93%
Feb 14, 2016Aston Villa 0–6 LiverpoolMatchday 26 1% · 3% · 96%
Feb 6, 2016Aston Villa 2–0 NorwichMatchday 25 35% · 33% · 32%
Feb 2, 2016West Ham 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 24 1% · 7% · 92%
Jan 23, 2016West Brom 0–0 Aston VillaMatchday 23 34% · 42% · 24%
Jan 16, 2016Aston Villa 1–1 LeicesterMatchday 22 13% · 16% · 71%
Jan 12, 2016Aston Villa 1–0 Crystal PalaceMatchday 21 42% · 41% · 17%
Jan 2, 2016Sunderland 3–1 Aston VillaMatchday 20 11% · 29% · 60%
Dec 28, 2015Norwich 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 19 16% · 44% · 40%
Dec 26, 2015Aston Villa 1–1 West HamMatchday 18 53% · 26% · 21%
Dec 19, 2015Newcastle 1–1 Aston VillaMatchday 17 11% · 31% · 58%
Dec 13, 2015Aston Villa 0–2 ArsenalMatchday 16 11% · 17% · 72%
Dec 5, 2015Southampton 1–1 Aston VillaMatchday 15 10% · 14% · 76%
Nov 28, 2015Aston Villa 2–3 WatfordMatchday 14 32% · 21% · 48%
Nov 21, 2015Everton 4–0 Aston VillaMatchday 13 6% · 12% · 82%
Nov 8, 2015Aston Villa 0–0 Man CityMatchday 12 4% · 17% · 79%
Nov 2, 2015Tottenham 3–1 Aston VillaMatchday 11 10% · 26% · 65%
Oct 24, 2015Aston Villa 1–2 SwanseaMatchday 10 22% · 24% · 54%
Oct 17, 2015Chelsea 2–0 Aston VillaMatchday 9 16% · 31% · 53%
Oct 3, 2015Aston Villa 0–1 StokeMatchday 8 14% · 26% · 60%
Sep 26, 2015Liverpool 3–2 Aston VillaMatchday 7 12% · 18% · 71%
Sep 19, 2015Aston Villa 0–1 West BromMatchday 6 21% · 33% · 46%
Sep 13, 2015Leicester 3–2 Aston VillaMatchday 5 36% · 27% · 38%
Aug 29, 2015Aston Villa 2–2 SunderlandMatchday 4 86% · 9% · 5%
Aug 22, 2015Crystal Palace 2–1 Aston VillaMatchday 3 31% · 31% · 38%
Aug 14, 2015Aston Villa 0–1 Man UnitedMatchday 2 16% · 45% · 39%
Aug 8, 2015Bournemouth 0–1 Aston VillaMatchday 1 23% · 31% · 47% · a steal

Aston Villa and luck

Is Aston Villa lucky in the Premier League 2026-27?

About as lucky as the average team so far: Aston Villa have 4 points from 5 matches, where their goals are worth 4.7, so −0.7 points of luck.

What was Aston Villa’s luckiest season?

2025-26: 65 points from goals worth 55.9 (+9.1). Their unluckiest was 2015-16: 17 points from 29.5 (−12.5).