2026-27 season · in progress
New York Islanders, 2026-27: game by game
The Islanders are 0–1–0 (0 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.0 points. Luck cost them 1.0: the unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–1; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Islanders win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | L 1–2 | 45% | −45 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Islanders win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | vs Devils |  Islanders even | 50% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Rangers |  Rangers by 0.4 | 43% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | vs Blackhawks | Islanders by 0.7 | 62% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Lightning |  Lightning by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Canucks | Islanders by 0.6 | 61% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Senators |  Senators by 0.7 | 39% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | at Maple Leafs |  Maple Leafs by 0.1 | 49% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | vs Ducks | Islanders by 0.1 | 51% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | vs Kings |  Kings by 0.1 | 49% |
| Week 4 · Oct 25 | at Stars |  Stars by 0.6 | 40% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Islanders’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +0.4 |
| Empty-net goals | +0.3 |
| Shooting | −1.3 |