2026-27 NHL season · one-goal games · after week 1
NHL one-goal game records, 2026-27
The Canucks are 1–0 in one-goal games so far; replayed with the way both teams played, they win 0.3 of those 1, the most close-game luck in the league. The Oilers are 0–1, from play worth 0.7 wins.
League-wide so far: home teams won 4 of 8 overtimes and 0 of 0 shootouts. The Canucks have done best after regulation: 1–0 in overtime, 0–0 in the shootout. Regular season.
| Team | One-goal games | Record | Replay wins | Luck | Overtime | Shootout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Canucks | 1 | 1–0 | 0.3 | +0.7 | 1–0 | 0–0 |
 Sharks | 1 | 1–0 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 1–0 | 0–0 |
 Canadiens | 1 | 1–0 | 0.4 | +0.6 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Devils | 1 | 1–0 | 0.8 | +0.2 | 1–0 | 0–0 |
 Blue Jackets | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Bruins | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Avalanche | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Golden Knights | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Wild | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Kraken | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Mammoth | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Penguins | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Rangers | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Flames | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Predators | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Kings | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Lightning | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Sabres | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Blackhawks | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Panthers | 2 | 1–1 | 1.1 | −0.1 | 1–1 | 0–0 |
 Maple Leafs | 2 | 1–1 | 1.1 | −0.1 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Flyers | 1 | 0–1 | 0.2 | −0.2 | 0–1 | 0–0 |
 Islanders | 1 | 0–1 | 0.4 | −0.4 | 0–0 | 0–0 |
 Hurricanes | 1 | 0–1 | 0.6 | −0.6 | 0–1 | 0–0 |
 Oilers | 1 | 0–1 | 0.7 | −0.7 | 0–1 | 0–0 |
Replay wins: in each one-goal game, how often the team wins it replayed with the same day’s form, added up. Luck: one-goal wins minus replay wins. After regulation: overtime and shootout wins above half of those games.
Questions
Which NHL team is luckiest in one-goal games in 2026-27?
The Vancouver Canucks so far: 1–0 in one-goal games, from play worth 0.3 wins in those games (+0.7). The unluckiest: the Edmonton Oilers, 0–1 from play worth 0.7.
Is winning overtime and shootouts a skill?
Barely. Three-on-three overtime and the shootout are as close to coin flips as hockey gets: since 2018-19 the home team has won 51% of overtimes and 49% of shootouts, and a team’s record in them in one half of a season says almost nothing about the other half. That is why the luck-adjusted standings replay them at those odds.
What counts as a one-goal game?
A game decided by a single goal, overtime and shootout wins included (the shootout winner is awarded a goal). Empty-net goals often turn a one-goal game into a two-goal one; those count as played.
2026-27 luck rankings · Standings adjusted for luck · How overtime is replayed