Were the Panthers lucky in 2025-26?

About as lucky as the average team: −1.3 points against what their play was worth, the 7th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Panthers’ luck come from?

Empty-net goals +3.8 goals, Shootout +3.0 goals, Overtime +0.9 goals, Shooting −4.2 goals, Goaltending −19.7 goals.

Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference

Florida Panthers

The Panthers went 40–38–4 (84 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 85.3 points. Luck cost 1.3: the 7th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.986; 51.3% of the expected goals in their games.

Atlantic Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Sabres	82	50–23–9	109	95.4	3rd
2	Lightning	82	50–26–6	106	105.1	1st
3	Canadiens	82	48–24–10	106	87.8	4th
4	Bruins	82	45–27–10	100	81.1	7th
5	Senators	82	44–27–11	99	99.7	2nd
6	Red Wings	82	41–31–10	92	84.8	6th
7	Panthers	82	40–38–4	84	85.3	5th
8	Maple Leafs	82	32–36–14	78	71.4	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Empty-net goals +3.8

Shootout +3.0

Overtime +0.9

Shooting −4.2

Goaltending −19.7

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	1–0–1	3	2.5	+0.5
2025-26	40–38–4	84	85.3	−1.3

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Apr 13, 2026	vs Rangers	W 3–2	25%	+75
Mar 12, 2026	vs Blue Jackets	W 2–1	30%	+70
Mar 6, 2026	@ Red Wings	W 3–1	30%	+70
Jan 10, 2026	@ Senators	W 3–2	35%	+65
Mar 10, 2026	vs Red Wings	W 4–3	39%	+61

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Oct 23, 2025	vs Penguins	L 3–5	72%	−72
Nov 8, 2025	@ Sharks	L 1–3	69%	−69
Dec 27, 2025	vs Lightning	L 2–4	69%	−69
Nov 28, 2025	vs Flames	L 3–5	69%	−69
Feb 2, 2026	vs Sabres	L 3–5	69%	−69

Division rivals

Bruins · Sabres · Red Wings · Canadiens · Senators · Lightning · Maple Leafs

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured