2026-27 season · in progress
Florida Panthers, 2026-27: game by game
The Panthers are 1–0–1 (3 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 2.5 points. Luck added 0.5: the 6th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 1–1; in overtime 1–1, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Panthers win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | W 1–0 | 43% | +57 | OT |
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 3–4 | 64% | −64 | OT |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Panthers win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 4 | at Ducks |  Ducks by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Kings |  Kings by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | vs Wild |  Panthers by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 3 · Oct 12 | at Sabres |  Sabres by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Blue Jackets |  Blue Jackets by 0.2 | 46% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | vs Canucks | Panthers by 1.0 | 66% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | vs Kraken | Panthers by 0.5 | 58% |
| Week 4 · Oct 21 | at Senators |  Senators by 0.4 | 44% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Penguins |  Penguins by 0.5 | 42% |
| Week 4 · Oct 25 | at Blackhawks | Panthers by 0.6 | 60% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Panthers’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +1.1 |
| Shooting | −1.9 |