Were the Red Wings lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +7.2 points against what their play was worth, the 11th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Red Wings’ luck come from?

Empty-net goals +5.7 goals, Overtime +2.9 goals, Goaltending +2.9 goals, Shootout −2.0 goals, Shooting −19.3 goals.

Atlantic Division · Eastern Conference

Detroit Red Wings

The Red Wings went 41–31–10 (92 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 84.8 points. Luck added 7.2: the 11th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.989; 50.0% of the expected goals in their games.

Atlantic Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Sabres	82	50–23–9	109	95.4	3rd
2	Lightning	82	50–26–6	106	105.1	1st
3	Canadiens	82	48–24–10	106	87.8	4th
4	Bruins	82	45–27–10	100	81.1	7th
5	Senators	82	44–27–11	99	99.7	2nd
6	Red Wings	82	41–31–10	92	84.8	6th
7	Panthers	82	40–38–4	84	85.3	5th
8	Maple Leafs	82	32–36–14	78	71.4	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Empty-net goals +5.7

Overtime +2.9

Goaltending +2.9

Shootout −2.0

Shooting −19.3

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2025-26	41–31–10	92	84.8	+7.2

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Dec 8, 2025	@ Canucks	W 4–0	23%	+77
Dec 21, 2025	vs Capitals	W 3–2	24%	+76
Oct 25, 2025	vs Blues	W 6–4	26%	+74
Apr 2, 2026	@ Flyers	W 4–2	29%	+71
Jan 21, 2026	@ Maple Leafs	W 2–1	30%	+70

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Nov 9, 2025	vs Blackhawks	L 1–5	85%	−85
Nov 24, 2025	@ Devils	L 3–4	70%	−70
Mar 6, 2026	vs Panthers	L 1–3	70%	−70
Oct 9, 2025	vs Canadiens	L 1–5	66%	−66
Dec 4, 2025	@ Blue Jackets	L 5–6	64%	−64

Division rivals

Bruins · Sabres · Panthers · Canadiens · Senators · Lightning · Maple Leafs

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured