Were the Predators lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +7.9 points against what their play was worth, the 10th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Predators’ luck come from?

Goaltending +5.0 goals, Shootout +3.0 goals, Empty-net goals +2.4 goals, Shooting −0.7 goals, Overtime −2.9 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Nashville Predators

The Predators went 38–34–10 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 78.1 points. Luck added 7.9: the 10th-luckiest of 32. PDO 0.998; 47.4% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Goaltending +5.0

Shootout +3.0

Empty-net goals +2.4

Shooting −0.7

Overtime −2.9

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	0–1–0	0	0.3	−0.3
2025-26	38–34–10	86	78.1	+7.9

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 17, 2026	@ Jets	W 4–3	23%	+77
Oct 25, 2025	vs Kings	W 5–4	27%	+73
Mar 10, 2026	@ Kraken	W 4–2	27%	+73
Dec 29, 2025	@ Mammoth	W 4–3	33%	+67
Apr 7, 2026	@ Ducks	W 5–0	33%	+67

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Oct 30, 2025	@ Flyers	L 1–4	69%	−69
Nov 6, 2025	vs Flyers	L 1–3	69%	−69
Jan 10, 2026	vs Blackhawks	L 0–3	65%	−65
Jan 1, 2026	@ Kraken	L 1–4	61%	−61
Apr 13, 2026	vs Sharks	L 2–3	60%	−60

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Stars · Wild · Blues · Mammoth · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured