2025-26 season · final
Nashville Predators, 2025-26: game by game
The Predators went 38–34–10 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 78.1 points. Luck added 7.9: the 10th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 20–18; in overtime 5–8, in the shootout 5–2.
Every game
How often the Predators win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | W 2–1 | 55% | +45 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Mammoth | L 2–3 | 58% | −58 | OT |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ Senators | W 4–1 | 48% | +52 | |
| Oct 14, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | L 4–7 | 38% | −38 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Canadiens | L 2–3 | 43% | −43 | OT |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ Jets | L 1–4 | 47% | −47 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 2–5 | 25% | −25 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs Canucks | W 2–1 | 48% | +52 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Kings | W 5–4 | 27% | +73 | SO |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs Stars | L 2–3 | 36% | −36 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 2–5 | 29% | −29 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | @ Flyers | L 1–4 | 69% | −69 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Flames | W 4–2 | 51% | +49 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 4–5 | 53% | −53 | OT |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ Wild | L 2–3 | 53% | −53 | OT |
| Nov 6, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 1–3 | 69% | −69 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Stars | L 4–5 | 34% | −34 | |
| Nov 10, 2025 | @ Rangers | L 3–6 | 59% | −59 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Penguins | W 2–1 | 66% | +34 | OT |
| Nov 16, 2025 | vs Penguins | L 0–4 | 39% | −39 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Avalanche | L 0–3 | 51% | −51 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | vs Panthers | L 3–8 | 47% | −47 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Red Wings | W 6–3 | 51% | +49 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | W 4–3 | 47% | +53 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Jets | L 2–5 | 36% | −36 | |
| Dec 2, 2025 | vs Flames | W 5–1 | 59% | +41 | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | @ Panthers | W 2–1 | 47% | +53 | OT |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 3–6 | 20% | −20 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Avalanche | W 4–3 | 51% | +49 | SO |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs Blues | W 7–2 | 72% | +28 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 2–4 | 31% | −31 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | @ Blues | W 5–2 | 61% | +39 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–4 | 30% | −30 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Maple Leafs | W 5–3 | 57% | +43 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | vs Rangers | W 2–1 | 63% | +37 | |
| Dec 23, 2025 | @ Wild | W 3–2 | 57% | +43 | OT |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Blues | L 2–3 | 47% | −47 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | @ Mammoth | W 4–3 | 33% | +67 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | W 4–2 | 39% | +61 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | @ Kraken | L 1–4 | 61% | −61 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ Flames | W 4–3 | 54% | +46 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 2–6 | 15% | −15 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Islanders | W 2–1 | 52% | +48 | SO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | L 0–3 | 65% | −65 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 3–2 | 47% | +53 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 4–3 | 44% | +56 | OT |
| Jan 16, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 7–3 | 43% | +57 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–7 | 42% | −42 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | vs Sabres | L 3–5 | 59% | −59 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs Senators | W 5–3 | 48% | +52 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Mammoth | L 2–5 | 52% | −52 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 2–3 | 58% | −58 | OT |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Devils | L 2–3 | 50% | −50 | OT |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Islanders | W 4–3 | 68% | +32 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | vs Blues | W 6–5 | 45% | +55 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | vs Wild | L 5–6 | 45% | −45 | OT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | @ Capitals | L 2–4 | 55% | −55 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 4–2 | 38% | +62 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Stars | L 2–3 | 46% | −46 | OT |
| Mar 2, 2026 | vs Red Wings | L 2–4 | 51% | −51 | |
| Mar 3, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | L 2–3 | 52% | −52 | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs Bruins | W 6–3 | 61% | +39 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 2–3 | 50% | −50 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ Kraken | W 4–2 | 27% | +73 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Canucks | L 3–4 | 35% | −35 | SO |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 1–3 | 27% | −27 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | @ Jets | W 4–3 | 23% | +77 | SO |
| Mar 19, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 3–1 | 55% | +45 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–1 | 42% | +58 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 3–2 | 57% | +43 | OT |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Sharks | W 6–3 | 42% | +58 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs Devils | L 2–4 | 38% | −38 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 1–4 | 30% | −30 | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | @ Lightning | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Kings | W 5–4 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ Sharks | W 6–3 | 53% | +47 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | @ Kings | L 2–3 | 54% | −54 | SO |
| Apr 7, 2026 | @ Ducks | W 5–0 | 33% | +67 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 1–4 | 53% | −53 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Wild | W 2–1 | 43% | +57 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs Sharks | L 2–3 | 60% | −60 | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | vs Ducks | L 4–5 | 21% | −21 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Predators’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +5.0 |
| Shootout | +3.0 |
| Empty-net goals | +2.4 |
| Shooting | −0.7 |
| Overtime | −2.9 |