luckadjusted
NHL Week 1 · 2026-27

2026-27 season · in progress

Nashville Predators, 2026-27: game by game

The Predators are 0–1–0 (0 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 0.3 points. Luck cost them 0.3: the 4th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.

Every game

How often the Predators win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).

DateGameResultWins the replayLuck index
Oct 1, 2026 vs Wild L 1–3 35% −35

Game by game

The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.

Next games: our predictions

Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.

WeekGameOur pickPredators win chance
Week 1 · Oct 3 vs Stars Stars by 0.2 46%
Week 2 · Oct 6 at Maple Leafs Maple Leafs by 0.2 47%
Week 2 · Oct 8 at Canadiens Canadiens by 0.6 39%
Week 2 · Oct 10 at Senators Senators by 0.8 37%
Week 3 · Oct 13 vs Golden Knights Golden Knights by 0.6 40%
Week 3 · Oct 15 vs Sharks Predators by 0.3 55%
Week 3 · Oct 17 vs Blues Blues by 0.1 48%
Week 4 · Oct 22 at Bruins Bruins by 0.5 42%
Week 4 · Oct 24 at Penguins Penguins by 0.9 35%
Week 4 · Oct 25 vs Avalanche Avalanche by 0.7 38%

Where the luck came from

Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Predators’ favor.

KindGoals
Goaltending+0.2
Shooting−0.7