Were the Jets lucky in 2025-26?

No, unlucky: −4.7 points against what their play was worth, the 2nd-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Jets’ luck come from?

Empty-net goals −0.7 goals, Shootout −2.0 goals, Overtime −3.0 goals, Shooting −7.1 goals, Goaltending −11.2 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Winnipeg Jets

The Jets went 35–35–12 (82 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 86.7 points. Luck cost 4.7: the 2nd-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.994; 50.2% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Empty-net goals −0.7

Shootout −2.0

Overtime −3.0

Shooting −7.1

Goaltending −11.2

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2025-26	35–35–12	82	86.7	−4.7

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 14, 2026	vs Avalanche	W 3–1	32%	+68
Dec 5, 2025	vs Sabres	W 4–1	38%	+62
Oct 28, 2025	@ Wild	W 4–3	39%	+61
Oct 16, 2025	@ Flyers	W 5–2	39%	+61
Jan 9, 2026	vs Kings	W 5–1	40%	+60

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 17, 2026	vs Predators	L 3–4	77%	−77
Feb 4, 2026	vs Canadiens	L 1–5	75%	−75
Dec 29, 2025	vs Oilers	L 1–3	69%	−69
Jan 17, 2026	vs Maple Leafs	L 3–4	67%	−67
Dec 31, 2025	@ Red Wings	L 1–2	65%	−65

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Stars · Wild · Predators · Blues · Mammoth

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured