2025-26 season · final
Winnipeg Jets, 2025-26: game by game
The Jets went 35–35–12 (82 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 86.7 points. Luck cost them 4.7: the 2nd-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 16–24; in overtime 5–8, in the shootout 2–4.
Every game
How often the Jets win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Stars | L 4–5 | 40% | −40 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | vs Kings | W 3–2 | 46% | +54 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 5–2 | 46% | +54 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | @ Flyers | W 5–2 | 39% | +61 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Predators | W 4–1 | 53% | +47 | |
| Oct 20, 2025 | @ Flames | W 2–1 | 64% | +36 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 0–3 | 56% | −56 | |
| Oct 24, 2025 | vs Flames | W 5–3 | 49% | +51 | |
| Oct 26, 2025 | vs Mammoth | L 2–3 | 57% | −57 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | @ Wild | W 4–3 | 39% | +61 | OT |
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | W 6–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | vs Penguins | W 5–2 | 61% | +39 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | @ Kings | L 0–3 | 42% | −42 | |
| Nov 7, 2025 | @ Sharks | L 1–2 | 43% | −43 | |
| Nov 9, 2025 | @ Ducks | L 1–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ Canucks | W 5–3 | 52% | +48 | |
| Nov 13, 2025 | @ Kraken | L 3–5 | 46% | −46 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Flames | W 4–3 | 54% | +46 | SO |
| Nov 18, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | W 5–2 | 60% | +40 | |
| Nov 21, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 3–4 | 58% | −58 | |
| Nov 23, 2025 | vs Wild | L 0–3 | 61% | −61 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Capitals | L 3–4 | 53% | −53 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @ Hurricanes | L 1–5 | 29% | −29 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | @ Predators | W 5–2 | 64% | +36 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | @ Sabres | L 1–5 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | @ Canadiens | L 2–3 | 38% | −38 | SO |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vs Sabres | W 4–1 | 38% | +62 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Oilers | L 2–6 | 31% | −31 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Stars | L 3–4 | 47% | −47 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | vs Bruins | L 3–6 | 60% | −60 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | vs Capitals | W 5–1 | 68% | +32 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs Senators | L 2–3 | 50% | −50 | OT |
| Dec 17, 2025 | @ Blues | L 0–1 | 31% | −31 | |
| Dec 19, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 2–3 | 23% | −23 | |
| Dec 21, 2025 | @ Mammoth | L 3–4 | 31% | −31 | OT |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Wild | L 3–4 | 55% | −55 | OT |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Oilers | L 1–3 | 69% | −69 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 1–2 | 65% | −65 | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | L 5–6 | 53% | −53 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | @ Senators | L 2–4 | 52% | −52 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 3–4 | 40% | −40 | OT |
| Jan 8, 2026 | vs Oilers | L 3–4 | 37% | −37 | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | vs Kings | W 5–1 | 40% | +60 | |
| Jan 11, 2026 | vs Devils | W 4–3 | 60% | +40 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Islanders | W 5–4 | 60% | +40 | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | @ Wild | W 6–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | L 3–4 | 67% | −67 | OT |
| Jan 19, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | L 0–2 | 64% | −64 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | vs Blues | W 3–1 | 42% | +58 | |
| Jan 22, 2026 | vs Panthers | L 1–2 | 59% | −59 | SO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Red Wings | L 1–5 | 43% | −43 | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | @ Devils | W 4–3 | 52% | +48 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Lightning | L 1–4 | 37% | −37 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | @ Panthers | W 2–1 | 54% | +46 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ Stars | L 3–4 | 30% | −30 | OT |
| Feb 4, 2026 | vs Canadiens | L 1–5 | 75% | −75 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 3–2 | 67% | +33 | OT |
| Feb 27, 2026 | @ Ducks | L 4–5 | 51% | −51 | OT |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 1–2 | 44% | −44 | OT |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 3–2 | 62% | +38 | OT |
| Mar 5, 2026 | vs Lightning | W 4–1 | 60% | +40 | |
| Mar 7, 2026 | vs Canucks | W 3–2 | 64% | +36 | OT |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Ducks | L 1–4 | 38% | −38 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | vs Rangers | L 3–6 | 64% | −64 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | vs Avalanche | W 3–1 | 32% | +68 | |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Blues | W 3–2 | 44% | +56 | |
| Mar 17, 2026 | vs Predators | L 3–4 | 77% | −77 | SO |
| Mar 19, 2026 | @ Bruins | L 1–6 | 50% | −50 | |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ Penguins | L 4–5 | 54% | −54 | SO |
| Mar 22, 2026 | @ Rangers | W 3–2 | 59% | +41 | SO |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–1 | 41% | +59 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 2–3 | 26% | −26 | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 4–2 | 52% | +48 | |
| Mar 31, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 4–3 | 53% | +47 | OT |
| Apr 2, 2026 | @ Stars | L 0–3 | 49% | −49 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | @ Blue Jackets | W 2–1 | 47% | +53 | |
| Apr 6, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 6–2 | 64% | +36 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | @ Blues | W 3–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | vs Flyers | L 1–7 | 59% | −59 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–6 | 29% | −29 | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 3–5 | 32% | −32 | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | vs Sharks | L 1–6 | 41% | −41 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Jets’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Empty-net goals | −0.7 |
| Shootout | −2.0 |
| Overtime | −3.0 |
| Shooting | −7.1 |
| Goaltending | −11.2 |