Were the Stars lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +9.9 points against what their play was worth, the 7th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Stars’ luck come from?

Shooting +16.0 goals, Goaltending +10.3 goals, Shootout +2.0 goals, Overtime −2.0 goals, Empty-net goals −10.5 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Dallas Stars

The Stars went 50–20–12 (112 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 102.1 points. Luck added 9.9: the 7th-luckiest of 32. PDO 1.031; 52.2% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Shooting +16.0

Goaltending +10.3

Shootout +2.0

Overtime −2.0

Empty-net goals −10.5

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2025-26	50–20–12	112	102.1	+9.9

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Nov 20, 2025	@ Canucks	W 4–2	32%	+68
Oct 11, 2025	@ Avalanche	W 5–4	33%	+67
Dec 18, 2025	@ Sharks	W 5–3	35%	+65
Mar 18, 2026	@ Avalanche	W 2–1	36%	+64
Apr 9, 2026	vs Wild	W 5–4	40%	+60

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 16, 2026	vs Mammoth	L 3–6	73%	−73
Dec 27, 2025	vs Blackhawks	L 3–4	73%	−73
Oct 16, 2025	vs Canucks	L 3–5	65%	−65
Oct 23, 2025	vs Kings	L 2–3	62%	−62
Oct 21, 2025	vs Blue Jackets	L 1–5	62%	−62

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Wild · Predators · Blues · Mammoth · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured