Were the Blues lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +2.2 points against what their play was worth, the 13th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Blues’ luck come from?

Shooting +3.5 goals, Empty-net goals −1.1 goals, Shootout −3.0 goals, Overtime −5.0 goals, Goaltending −13.3 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

St. Louis Blues

The Blues went 37–33–12 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 83.8 points. Luck added 2.2: the 13th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 1.000; 49.2% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Shooting +3.5

Empty-net goals −1.1

Shootout −3.0

Overtime −5.0

Goaltending −13.3

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2025-26	37–33–12	86	83.8	+2.2

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 12, 2026	@ Hurricanes	W 3–1	24%	+76
Dec 6, 2025	@ Senators	W 2–1	29%	+71
Jan 16, 2026	vs Lightning	W 3–2	29%	+71
Nov 6, 2025	@ Sabres	W 3–0	32%	+68
Mar 6, 2026	@ Sharks	W 3–2	42%	+58

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Oct 25, 2025	@ Red Wings	L 4–6	74%	−74
Oct 30, 2025	vs Canucks	L 3–4	68%	−68
Oct 9, 2025	vs Wild	L 0–5	65%	−65
Dec 1, 2025	vs Ducks	L 1–4	62%	−62
Nov 14, 2025	vs Flyers	L 5–6	60%	−60

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Stars · Wild · Predators · Mammoth · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured