2025-26 season · final
St. Louis Blues, 2025-26: game by game
The Blues went 37–33–12 (86 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 83.8 points. Luck added 2.2: the 13th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 18–21; in overtime 3–8, in the shootout 1–4.
Every game
How often the Blues win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | vs Wild | L 0–5 | 65% | −65 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Flames | W 4–2 | 46% | +54 | |
| Oct 13, 2025 | @ Canucks | W 5–2 | 54% | +46 | |
| Oct 15, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | L 3–8 | 40% | −40 | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Stars | W 3–1 | 60% | +40 | |
| Oct 21, 2025 | vs Kings | L 1–2 | 59% | −59 | OT |
| Oct 23, 2025 | vs Mammoth | L 4–7 | 55% | −55 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 4–6 | 74% | −74 | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | @ Penguins | L 3–6 | 57% | −57 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | vs Red Wings | L 2–5 | 38% | −38 | |
| Oct 30, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 3–4 | 68% | −68 | SO |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | L 2–3 | 46% | −46 | |
| Nov 3, 2025 | vs Oilers | W 3–2 | 55% | +45 | |
| Nov 5, 2025 | @ Capitals | L 1–6 | 32% | −32 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ Sabres | W 3–0 | 32% | +68 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 3–4 | 57% | −57 | OT |
| Nov 11, 2025 | vs Flames | W 3–2 | 59% | +41 | |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Flyers | L 5–6 | 60% | −60 | SO |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | L 1–4 | 28% | −28 | |
| Nov 18, 2025 | @ Maple Leafs | L 2–3 | 59% | −59 | OT |
| Nov 20, 2025 | @ Flyers | L 2–3 | 42% | −42 | OT |
| Nov 22, 2025 | @ Islanders | W 2–1 | 48% | +52 | |
| Nov 24, 2025 | @ Rangers | L 2–3 | 51% | −51 | |
| Nov 26, 2025 | @ Devils | L 2–3 | 53% | −53 | OT |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Senators | W 4–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 1–0 | 56% | +44 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | vs Ducks | L 1–4 | 62% | −62 | |
| Dec 4, 2025 | @ Bruins | L 2–5 | 58% | −58 | |
| Dec 6, 2025 | @ Senators | W 2–1 | 29% | +71 | |
| Dec 7, 2025 | @ Canadiens | W 4–3 | 51% | +49 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | vs Bruins | L 2–5 | 37% | −37 | |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ Predators | L 2–7 | 28% | −28 | |
| Dec 12, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | W 3–2 | 59% | +41 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | vs Predators | L 2–5 | 39% | −39 | |
| Dec 17, 2025 | vs Jets | W 1–0 | 70% | +31 | |
| Dec 18, 2025 | vs Rangers | L 1–2 | 45% | −45 | OT |
| Dec 20, 2025 | @ Panthers | W 6–2 | 57% | +43 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | @ Lightning | L 1–4 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | vs Predators | W 3–2 | 53% | +47 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Sabres | L 2–4 | 32% | −32 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 1–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 50% | +50 | |
| Jan 3, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 2–0 | 45% | +55 | |
| Jan 7, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | L 3–7 | 43% | −43 | |
| Jan 9, 2026 | @ Mammoth | L 2–4 | 52% | −52 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–4 | 44% | −44 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Hurricanes | W 3–0 | 52% | +48 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | vs Lightning | W 3–2 | 29% | +71 | SO |
| Jan 18, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 0–5 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | @ Jets | L 1–3 | 58% | −58 | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | @ Stars | L 2–3 | 48% | −48 | |
| Jan 24, 2026 | vs Kings | L 4–5 | 46% | −46 | SO |
| Jan 27, 2026 | vs Stars | L 3–4 | 32% | −32 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | vs Panthers | W 5–4 | 43% | +57 | |
| Jan 31, 2026 | vs Blue Jackets | L 3–5 | 60% | −60 | |
| Feb 2, 2026 | @ Predators | L 5–6 | 55% | −55 | |
| Feb 4, 2026 | @ Stars | L 4–5 | 25% | −25 | |
| Feb 26, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 5–1 | 54% | +46 | |
| Feb 28, 2026 | vs Devils | L 1–3 | 37% | −37 | |
| Mar 1, 2026 | @ Wild | W 3–1 | 44% | +56 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | @ Kraken | W 3–2 | 45% | +55 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | @ Sharks | W 3–2 | 42% | +58 | OT |
| Mar 8, 2026 | @ Ducks | W 4–0 | 79% | +21 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | vs Islanders | L 3–4 | 29% | −29 | OT |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | W 3–1 | 24% | +76 | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 3–2 | 43% | +57 | OT |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ Jets | L 2–3 | 56% | −56 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | @ Flames | L 1–2 | 50% | −50 | SO |
| Mar 21, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 3–1 | 61% | +39 | |
| Mar 24, 2026 | vs Capitals | W 3–0 | 62% | +38 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | vs Sharks | W 2–1 | 47% | +53 | OT |
| Mar 28, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | W 5–1 | 72% | +28 | |
| Mar 30, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 4–5 | 40% | −40 | |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ Kings | L 1–2 | 56% | −56 | OT |
| Apr 3, 2026 | @ Ducks | W 6–2 | 54% | +46 | |
| Apr 5, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 3–2 | 68% | +32 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 1–3 | 40% | −40 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs Jets | L 2–3 | 47% | −47 | |
| Apr 11, 2026 | @ Blackhawks | W 5–3 | 54% | +46 | |
| Apr 13, 2026 | vs Wild | W 6–3 | 48% | +52 | |
| Apr 14, 2026 | vs Penguins | W 7–5 | 66% | +34 | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 5–3 | 47% | +53 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Blues’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | +3.5 |
| Empty-net goals | −1.1 |
| Shootout | −3.0 |
| Overtime | −5.0 |
| Goaltending | −13.3 |