Were the Wild lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +10.8 points against what their play was worth, the 6th-luckiest of 32.

Where did the Wild’ luck come from?

Shooting +8.3 goals, Goaltending +8.0 goals, Overtime +3.9 goals, Empty-net goals −0.4 goals, Shootout −1.0 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Minnesota Wild

The Wild went 46–24–12 (104 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 93.2 points. Luck added 10.8: the 6th-luckiest of 32. PDO 1.012; 50.5% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Shooting +8.3

Goaltending +8.0

Overtime +3.9

Empty-net goals −0.4

Shootout −1.0

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	1–0–0	2	1.8	+0.2
2025-26	46–24–12	104	93.2	+10.8

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Jan 27, 2026	vs Blackhawks	W 4–3	26%	+74
Nov 26, 2025	@ Blackhawks	W 4–3	29%	+71
Apr 14, 2026	vs Ducks	W 3–2	33%	+67
Dec 13, 2025	vs Senators	W 3–2	33%	+67
Nov 19, 2025	vs Hurricanes	W 4–3	34%	+66

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Jan 10, 2026	vs Islanders	L 3–4	70%	−70
Mar 14, 2026	vs Rangers	L 2–4	70%	−70
Mar 12, 2026	vs Flyers	L 2–3	69%	−69
Mar 15, 2026	vs Maple Leafs	L 2–4	67%	−67
Nov 11, 2025	vs Sharks	L 1–2	63%	−63

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Stars · Predators · Blues · Mammoth · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured