2026-27 season · in progress
Minnesota Wild, 2026-27: game by game
The Wild are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.8 points. Luck added 0.2: the 11th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Wild win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | @ Predators | W 3–1 | 65% | +35 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Wild win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | vs Bruins |  Wild by 0.5 | 58% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Sabres |  Sabres by 0.1 | 49% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Lightning |  Lightning by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | at Panthers |  Panthers by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 3 · Oct 12 | vs Golden Knights |  Golden Knights even | 49% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | at Jets |  Jets even | 50% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | vs Blues | Wild by 0.4 | 57% |
| Week 3 · Oct 18 | vs Blue Jackets | Wild by 0.3 | 56% |
| Week 4 · Oct 20 | at Oilers |  Oilers by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Flames | Wild by 0.5 | 58% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | at Kraken | Wild by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 4 · Oct 25 | at Canucks | Wild by 0.6 | 60% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Wild’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Goaltending | +0.7 |
| Shooting | −0.2 |