Were the Mammoth lucky in 2025-26?

About as lucky as the average team: −1.7 points against what their play was worth, the 6th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Mammoth’ luck come from?

Empty-net goals +5.1 goals, Overtime +4.0 goals, Goaltending +3.6 goals, Shooting −2.0 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Utah Mammoth

The Mammoth went 43–33–6 (92 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 93.7 points. Luck cost 1.7: the 6th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 1.002; 51.6% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Empty-net goals +5.1

Overtime +4.0

Goaltending +3.6

Shooting −2.0

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	1–0–0	2	1.9	+0.1
2025-26	43–33–6	92	93.7	−1.7

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 16, 2026	@ Stars	W 6–3	27%	+73
Jan 21, 2026	vs Flyers	W 5–4	29%	+71
2025-26 first round, game 3	vs Golden Knights	W 4–2	30%	+70
Mar 19, 2026	@ Golden Knights	W 4–0	31%	+69
Dec 5, 2025	@ Canucks	W 4–1	37%	+63

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Mar 12, 2026	vs Blackhawks	L 2–3	77%	−77
Mar 26, 2026	vs Capitals	L 4–7	70%	−70
Dec 29, 2025	vs Predators	L 3–4	67%	−67
Mar 20, 2026	vs Ducks	L 1–4	65%	−65
Nov 26, 2025	vs Canadiens	L 3–4	63%	−63

Division rivals

Blackhawks · Avalanche · Stars · Wild · Predators · Blues · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured