2026-27 season · in progress
Utah Mammoth, 2026-27: game by game
The Mammoth are 1–0–0 (2 points) so far in 2026-27; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 1.9 points. Luck added 0.1: the 12th-unluckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 0–0; in overtime 0–0, in the shootout 0–0.
Every game
How often the Mammoth win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | vs Blackhawks | W 6–0 | 77% | +23 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Next games: our predictions
Every game ahead, forecast adjusted for luck, with the win chance and the range of likely margins.
| Week | Game | Our pick | Mammoth win chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oct 3 | at Blue Jackets |  Blue Jackets by 0.2 | 47% |
| Week 1 · Oct 4 | at Rangers |  Mammoth by 0.1 | 51% |
| Week 2 · Oct 6 | at Devils |  Devils by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 2 · Oct 8 | at Bruins | Mammoth by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 2 · Oct 10 | at Sabres |  Sabres even | 50% |
| Week 3 · Oct 13 | vs Maple Leafs | Mammoth by 0.9 | 64% |
| Week 3 · Oct 15 | at Oilers |  Oilers by 0.1 | 48% |
| Week 3 · Oct 17 | vs Oilers | Mammoth by 0.3 | 56% |
| Week 4 · Oct 19 | vs Penguins | Mammoth by 0.1 | 52% |
| Week 4 · Oct 22 | at Kraken | Mammoth by 0.2 | 53% |
| Week 4 · Oct 24 | vs Lightning | Mammoth by 0.4 | 56% |
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Mammoth’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shooting | +1.8 |
| Goaltending | +1.2 |