Were the Blackhawks lucky in 2025-26?

Yes: +2.7 points against what their play was worth, the 14th-unluckiest of 32.

Where did the Blackhawks’ luck come from?

Goaltending +4.4 goals, Shooting −1.3 goals, Shootout −2.0 goals, Empty-net goals −3.2 goals, Overtime −5.1 goals.

Central Division · Western Conference

Chicago Blackhawks

The Blackhawks went 29–39–14 (72 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 69.3 points. Luck added 2.7: the 14th-unluckiest of 32. PDO 0.998; 44.1% of the expected goals in their games.

Central Division, 2025-26

#	Team	GP	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Without luck
1	Avalanche	82	55–16–11	121	117.0	1st
2	Stars	82	50–20–12	112	102.1	2nd
3	Wild	82	46–24–12	104	93.2	4th
4	Mammoth	82	43–33–6	92	93.7	3rd
5	Blues	82	37–33–12	86	83.8	6th
6	Predators	82	38–34–10	86	78.1	7th
7	Jets	82	35–35–12	82	86.7	5th
8	Blackhawks	82	29–39–14	72	69.3	8th

Every division, adjusted for luck

Where the luck came from, 2025-26

Goaltending +4.4

Shooting −1.3

Shootout −2.0

Empty-net goals −3.2

Overtime −5.1

Goals of margin luck added (right) or cost (left) over the season, each kind at its fitted luck share; overtime and shootout wins count two.

Season by season

Season	Record	Pts	Coin-flip pts	Luck
2026-27	0–2–0	0	0.3	−0.3
2025-26	29–39–14	72	69.3	+2.7

Luckiest wins

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Nov 9, 2025	@ Red Wings	W 5–1	15%	+85
Mar 24, 2026	@ Islanders	W 4–3	19%	+81
Mar 12, 2026	@ Mammoth	W 3–2	23%	+77
Jan 22, 2026	@ Hurricanes	W 4–3	25%	+75
Dec 27, 2025	@ Stars	W 4–3	27%	+73

Unluckiest losses

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Jan 27, 2026	@ Wild	L 3–4	74%	−74
Nov 26, 2025	vs Wild	L 3–4	71%	−71
Mar 6, 2026	vs Canucks	L 3–6	69%	−69
Feb 26, 2026	@ Predators	L 2–4	62%	−62
Nov 3, 2025	@ Kraken	L 1–3	61%	−61

Division rivals

Avalanche · Stars · Wild · Predators · Blues · Mammoth · Jets

Every NHL team · 2025-26 luck rankings · How the luck is measured